Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (20 Jun 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.5 m 52 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.8 m 381 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 420 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico420,690
+
United States271,775 
Mexico148,915 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 61 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 9 20 Jun 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Jun 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Jun 2021 18:00 79 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico2,673
+
United States09 
Mexico2,663 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador7,934,567
+
United States2,323 
Mexico6,543,783 
Guatemala364,296 
Honduras54,582 
El Salvador969,581 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 162 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 200 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 128 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 148 130 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 173 160 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 20 Jun 2021 06:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Jun 2021 12:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Jun 2021 18:00 275 3 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Fivemile Oaks, United States. This height is estimated for 20 Jun 2021 22:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Jun 2021 22:45 Fivemile Oaks United States  0.5
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Weeks United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Louisa United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Ivanhoe United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Florence United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Freetown United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Gordy United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 South Bend United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Burns United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Ellerstie United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 15:00 Maudlowe United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 15:00 Tivoli United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 15:00 Austwell United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 15:00 Green Lake United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 15:00 North Seadrift United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 15:00 Long Mott United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 15:00 Seadrift United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 16:00 Spanish Village United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 21:45 La Choya Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 21:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2021 21:15 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Point Comfort United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Indianola United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Olivia United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Weedhaven United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Port Alto United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Carancahua United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 08:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 22:00 Cypremort Point United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Palacios United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Collegeport United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Simpsonville United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Campeche Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Sabine United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 21:15 Intracoastal City United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Champoton Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Noham Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Oak Grove United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Smith Point United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Flake United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Oak Island United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Patton United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Caplen United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Neyac Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Cameron United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:30 High Island United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Nelson United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Delchamps United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Heron Bay United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Alabama Port United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Mon Louis United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Bellefontaine United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Fort Gaines United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Fort Morgan United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Mims United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Hoskins United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Port Morris United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Sea Isle United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 11:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Gulfport United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Mississippi City United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Handsboro United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Loraine United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Wool Market United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Edgewater Park United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Beauvoir United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Cedar Lake United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Biloxi United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 D'Iberville United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Saint Martin United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 04:45 Cocodrie United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Valton Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 17:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Ocean Springs United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Gulf Hills United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Galveston United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Fort Travis United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Henderson Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:45 De Lisle United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Pass Christian United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Cuevas United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:45 White Harbor United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Long Beach United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Guerrero Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Nadeau United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Texas City United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Virginia Point United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 04:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:45 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Hitchcock United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Bayside United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Estes United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Rockport United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Fulton United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:00 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 04:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 North Beach United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Doyle United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Portland United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Kilkare United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Lakeside United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 La Porte United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 El Lago United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Kemah United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Shoreacres United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Todville United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Bayview United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Red Bluff United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Seabrook United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Morgan Point United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Baytown United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Bacliff United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Pelly United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 San Leon United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Cedar Point United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Beach City United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:30 Coden United States  0.1
23 Jun 2021 02:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2021 02:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 12:15 Lamar United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:00 Gregory United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Hilda United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Gautier United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 01:30 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 01:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 21:15 Anahuac United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Pascagoula United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Moss Point United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:00 Agua El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 Pearlington United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 North Side United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 Jackson Landing United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 English Lookout United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 Ansley United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 Bayside Park United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 Lakeshore United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:15 Waveland United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:00 Bay St Louis United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:30 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:30 Nautla Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 23:30 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Freeport United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Quintana United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Surfside United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 23:30 Celestum Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:00 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 22:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
23 Jun 2021 01:30 Victoria Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2021 08:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:45 White Kitchen United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:45 Riolets United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Grand Ecaille United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Happy Jack United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Potash United States  0.1