Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico
18 Jun 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (18 Jun 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 91 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.8 m 381 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico12,721
+
United States12,687 
Mexico34 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 90 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico741,079 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico3,631,538
+
United States1,129,522 
Mexico2,502,015 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador6,402,619
+
United States1,260,935 
Mexico3,919,631 
Guatemala1,069,571 
Honduras65,837 
El Salvador86,642 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 430 4.4 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jun 2021 12:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:30 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:30 Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:30 Grand Isle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 English Lookout United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Ansley United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Bayside Park United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Lakeshore United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Shoreline Park United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Waveland United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Bay St Louis United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Henderson Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:15 Pass Christian United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Cuevas United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:00 White Harbor United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Long Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 De Lisle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Gulfport United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Mississippi City United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Handsboro United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Loraine United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Wool Market United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Edgewater Park United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Beauvoir United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1