Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Jun 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 47 km/h 0.4 m 71 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.8 m 381 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 940 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico939,193
+
United States267,476 
Mexico671,716 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 61 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 9 20 Jun 2021 06:00 86 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico2,658 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador17,353,707
+
United States160,031 
Mexico14,639,319 
Guatemala1,536,413 
Honduras183,306 
El Salvador834,636 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 162 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 200 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 128 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 148 130 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 173 160 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 20 Jun 2021 06:00 220 3 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Cypremort Point, United States. This height is estimated for 22 Jun 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Jun 2021 08:30 Cypremort Point United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 08:30 Weeks United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 08:30 Louisa United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 08:30 Ivanhoe United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 08:30 Florence United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 08:30 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 04:30 Freetown United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 04:30 Gordy United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 04:30 South Bend United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 04:30 Burns United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 04:30 Ellerstie United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 07:45 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.4
22 Jun 2021 07:45 Intracoastal City United States  0.4
20 Jun 2021 22:15 Fivemile Oaks United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Maudlowe United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Tivoli United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Austwell United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Green Lake United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:15 North Seadrift United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Long Mott United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Seadrift United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2021 14:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2021 14:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 21:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:45 Spanish Village United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Constance Beach United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Cameron United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 05:45 Oak Grove United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 05:30 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Sabine United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Campeche Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Neyac Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 03:00 Cocodrie United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Valton Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Nelson United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Delchamps United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Heron Bay United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Alabama Port United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Mon Louis United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Bellefontaine United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Fort Gaines United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Fort Morgan United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Point Comfort United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Indianola United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Olivia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Weedhaven United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Port Alto United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Carancahua United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Champoton Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Henderson Point United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 De Lisle United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Pass Christian United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Cuevas United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 White Harbor United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Long Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Gulfport United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Mississippi City United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Handsboro United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Loraine United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Wool Market United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Edgewater Park United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 18:15 Beauvoir United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 21:30 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:30 Palacios United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:30 Collegeport United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:30 Simpsonville United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Noham Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Pearlington United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 North Side United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Jackson Landing United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 English Lookout United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Ansley United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Bayside Park United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Lakeshore United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Waveland United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:00 Coden United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 19:15 Bay St Louis United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 05:30 High Island United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Celestum Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 North Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Doyle United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Peary Place United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Portland United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Ingleside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 White Kitchen United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Riolets United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Hilda United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Gautier United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Pascagoula United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Moss Point United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 05:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 17:15 Cedar Lake United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 17:15 Biloxi United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 17:15 D'Iberville United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 17:15 Saint Martin United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Ocean Springs United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Gulf Hills United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 05:30 Caplen United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Smith Point United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Flake United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Oak Island United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Patton United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 07:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Bayside United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Estes United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Rockport United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:15 Fulton United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 20:45 Shoreline Park United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:30 Galveston United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:30 Fort Travis United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Kemah United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Todville United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Bayview United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Bacliff United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Nadeau United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 San Leon United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Texas City United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Virginia Point United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Gregory United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 North Shore Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 North Shore United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Chef Menteur United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Eden Isle United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Howze Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Greens Ditch United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Fort Pike United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Lake Catherine United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:00 Lamar United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Shell Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Alluvial City United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Yscloskey United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Saint Malo United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 17:30 Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 17:30 Grand Ecaille United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 17:30 Happy Jack United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 17:30 Potash United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 14:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 08:45 Cedar Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 08:45 Beach City United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 08:45 Anahuac United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:00 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 06:00 Hopedale United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Shoreacres United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Red Bluff United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Seabrook United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 09:30 Little Woods United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 09:30 South Point United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 09:30 Martello Castle United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 09:00 Pelly United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 Kilkare United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 Lakeside United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 La Porte United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 El Lago United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 Morgan Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:15 Baytown United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:15 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:15 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:15 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:15 Nautla Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2021 03:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:00 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 21:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 07:15 Agua El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 00:30 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 00:30 Laja Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Mims United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1