Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DOLORES-21 in Mexico from 18 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 20 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21

in Mexico

18 Jun 2021 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States, Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (18 Jun 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	86 km/h	0.7 m	200 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	115 km/h	0.8 m	381 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

115 km/h

Up to 150 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States, Mexico	150,683	+
	United States	124,740
	Mexico	25,943

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	18 Jun 2021 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Jun 2021 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	18 Jun 2021 18:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	United States, Mexico	192,818	+
	United States	192,792
	Mexico	26
100-250 mm	United States, Mexico	2,895,281	+
	United States	484,161
	Mexico	2,411,119
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador	7,899,919	+
	United States	988,593
	Mexico	5,407,376
	Guatemala	1,046,749
	Honduras	12,832
	El Salvador	444,367

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	18 Jun 2021 06:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Jun 2021 12:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico
3	18 Jun 2021 18:00	397	3.1 million				-	-	-	United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in English Lookout, United States. This height is estimated for 18 Jun 2021 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	English Lookout	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Ansley	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Bayside Park	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Lakeshore	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Shoreline Park	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Waveland	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Bay St Louis	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Henderson Point	United States	0.7
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Pass Christian	United States	0.7
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Cuevas	United States	0.7
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	White Harbor	United States	0.7
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Long Beach	United States	0.7
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	De Lisle	United States	0.6
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Gulfport	United States	0.6
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Mississippi City	United States	0.6
	18 Jun 2021 20:45	Handsboro	United States	0.6
	18 Jun 2021 20:45	Loraine	United States	0.6
	18 Jun 2021 20:45	Wool Market	United States	0.6
	18 Jun 2021 20:45	Edgewater Park	United States	0.6
	18 Jun 2021 20:45	Beauvoir	United States	0.6
	18 Jun 2021 20:45	Biloxi	United States	0.5
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Cedar Lake	United States	0.5
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	D'Iberville	United States	0.5
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Saint Martin	United States	0.5
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Hesperides	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Nairn	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Empire	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Sunrise	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Buras	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Ostrica	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Neptune	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Fort Jackson	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Boothville	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Duvic	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Ocean Springs	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Gulf Hills	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Happy Jack	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Potash	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 20:00	Gulf Park Estates	United States	0.4
	18 Jun 2021 22:30	West Point	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 22:30	Breton	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 19:15	Hilda	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 19:15	Gautier	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Pascagoula	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Moss Point	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 19:15	Bayou La Batre	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 19:15	Coden	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Little Woods	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	South Point	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Martello Castle	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Chef Menteur	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Greens Ditch	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Fort Pike	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Lake Catherine	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Shell Beach	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Alluvial City	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Yscloskey	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Riolets	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Nelson	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:45	Dauphin Island	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:45	Delchamps	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:45	Heron Bay	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:45	Alabama Port	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:45	Bayleys Corner	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:45	Mon Louis	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:45	Bellefontaine	United States	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	North Side	United States	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Saint Malo	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Fort Gaines	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Fort Morgan	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	Frenier	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	Ruddock	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	La Branche	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	Kenner	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	Metairie	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	North Shore Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	North Shore	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Eden Isle	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Howze Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	White Kitchen	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Jackson Landing	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 19:30	Cheniere Caminada	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 19:30	Bassa Bassa	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 19:30	Grand Isle	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 20:30	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Pearlington	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Grand Ecaille	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 20:45	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:15	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:15	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Hopedale	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 21:30	Cypremort Point	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 21:30	Cote Blanche Landing	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Pixoy	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Telchac Puerto	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Madisonville	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Houltonville	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Lewisburg	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Chabihau	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Mina de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Mims	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Hoskins	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Peterson Landing	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Port Morris	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Bay Harbor	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Sea Isle	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Oak Ridge Park	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	West End	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Lakeview	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Intracoastal City	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Cheniere Au Tigre	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 22:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	Flake	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	Elmgrove	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	Crystal Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	Patton	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	Bolivar Peninsula	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	Caplen	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	Gilchrist	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:30	High Island	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:15	Cocodrie	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:15	Galveston	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:15	Port Bolivar	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:15	Smith Point	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:15	Fort Travis	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Sabine	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Sabine Pass	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Ejido Guandalupe Victoria	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Rancho Magueyes	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	El Mezquite	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	El Mezquital	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Port Eads	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	South Pass	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:30	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Cerrito	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Port Lavaca	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Alamo Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Point Comfort	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Magnolia Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Indianola	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Olivia	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Weedhaven	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Port Alto	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Port O'Connor	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Carancahua	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	El Campo Club Community	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 20:15	Oak Island	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Leeville	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Port Fourchon	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Progreso	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 22:00	Burrwood	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	Lake Terrace	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	Gentilly Terrace	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:30	Camp Leroy Johnson	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Chelem	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	La Periquera	El Salvador	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:45	Agua	El Salvador	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 22:45	Camp Hulen	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:15	Chisahcab	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Nadeau	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Texas City Junction	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Bayou Vista	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Texas City	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Anderson Ways	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Virginia Point	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Hacienda La Chepona	El Salvador	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	Balneario El Espino	El Salvador	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Johnson's Bayou	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:00	Constance Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 21:00	Peveto Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Chinchuba	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 21:45	Mandeville	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 20:30	Holly Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 00:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Hitchcock	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 19:30	Chinquapin	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.