Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 198 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (23 Mar 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 198 km/h 0.0 m 781 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 1.3 m 1378 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Australia01 
CAT. 1Australia18 
Tropical StormAustralia12,483 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Mar 2019 00:00 198 Few people
- - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia5,498
+
Papua New Guinea5,250 
Australia248 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia601,377
+
Indonesia184,885 
Papua New Guinea414,535 
Australia1,957 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia2,394,776
+
Indonesia676,881 
Papua New Guinea1,493,706 
Australia224,189 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 534 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 673 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 802 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 943 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 807 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 901 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 883 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 979 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1264 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 726 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 885 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 995 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 666 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Mar 2019 00:00 781 610 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Karumba Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 09:45 Bing Bong Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Numbulwar Australia  0.9
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Alyangula Australia  0.9
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Weipa South Australia  0.9
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Weipa Australia  0.9
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Hammond I Australia  0.7
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.7
21 Mar 2019 04:00 Mapoon Australia  0.6
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Badu Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Kowanyama Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Cowel Creek Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Seisia Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Kulinchin Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Tamerau Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Urum Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Merauke Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Daub Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 00:00 Running Creek Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 08:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Matara Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 00:15 Bamaga Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 00:15 Cape York Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 08:15 Kumbe Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 08:15 Anansai Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 08:15 Wendu Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Onggalie Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Boigu Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Dumande Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Kotad Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 01:15 Aloszville Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Gove Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Yirrkala Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Dauan Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 06:15 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Saibai Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 20:30 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Cooktown Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.3
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 20:45 Heits Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Elim Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Welab Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Mossman Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Miallo Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Wonga Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 11:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:15 Dokib Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Trinity Beach Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Barron Falls Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Freshwater Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Stratford Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Woree Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Edge Hill Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 White Rock Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Cairns Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Hockley Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:30 Ok Village Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Dodalim Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:45 Rita Island Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Katatai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Parama Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Ayton Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 21:45 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 21:45 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 21:45 Townsville Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 21:45 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 21:45 Cluden Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 21:45 Oolbun Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Auti Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Sepi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:00 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Sui Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Coolbie Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 10:15 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 20:30 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:30 Edmonton Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:30 Kamma Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Cassady Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Innisfail Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Halifax Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Lucinda Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 00:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 00:00 Cardwell Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 22:30 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 22:30 Kinduro Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 00:45 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:45 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:30 Alva Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Domara Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Badubadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Babauguina Plantation Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:15 Si'ini Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Akoma Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Merinda Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Delta Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Bowen Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:45 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:30 Baramata Number 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:30 Dom Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Elava Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Kukipi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Malalaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Terapo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Kapuri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Avihara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Iokea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Moru Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:30 Kapari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Biaru Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Karokaro Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Buru Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Kupiano Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Gavuone Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Babiko Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Inauaia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Pinupaka Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Kairuku Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Nicora Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:15 Opa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Belepa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Kea Kea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Ovahuhu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Aivau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Kapide Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Petoe Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Uamai No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Kivori-Kui Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Roro-Ariara-Waima Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Palathaona Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Murua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Kerema Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Oroi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Obo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Hisiu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:15 Totoo Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Mamura Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Gemo Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Kamali Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Keapara Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Maopa No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Gaivakala Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Manu Mana Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Kido Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Gorohu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Lea-Lea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Porebada Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:30 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:30 Tor Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Aivebadina Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Lolorua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:15 Kaparaka Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 09:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:15 Gabone Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 01:15 Mookarra Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Gabagaba Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Umugau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Kila Kila Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Pari School Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Tubusereia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Rabuka Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Barakau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Dabunari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Gaire No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Dagoda Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Sabuia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Manugoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:30 Port Moresby Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Cannon Valley Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Windermere Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:30 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 10:15 Wan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 19:45 Birab Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Jow Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1