Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji, Tonga
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Dec 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 119 km/h 0.3 m 136 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Fiji624 
Tropical StormFiji, Tonga218,265
+
Fiji217,886 
Tonga379 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 198 Few people
- - - - Fiji, Tonga
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmWallis and Futuna, Fiji460,774
+
Fiji447,811 
Wallis and Futuna12,963 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga456,805
+
Solomon Islands1,224 
Fiji452,718 
Wallis and Futuna2,598 
Tonga265 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 1014 460 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 14 Dec 2020 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Ba Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Natunuka Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Tavua Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Naindi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Lao Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Nailou Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Nawi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Napuka Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 14:45 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 14:45 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Korovou Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Navuti Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Naua Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Vangai Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Malake Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 13:30 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 13:30 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 13:30 Ndaria Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 13:30 Rave-rave Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 13:30 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:15 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:00 Nadi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:00 Namaka Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Solevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Momi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Sisili Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Naingani Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:15 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 18:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nacula Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Navotua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:45 Tawake Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:45 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Togowere Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 13:45 Laucala Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 13:45 Nausori Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 13:45 Lokia Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 13:45 Cautata Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 13:45 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 13:45 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Levuka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:45 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:45 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:45 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Voh New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Oundjo New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Pinjen New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:45 Tarbeville New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 15:15 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:15 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:15 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:15 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:15 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:15 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 14:15 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1