Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji, Tonga
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Dec 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 0.3 m 121 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 7 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormFiji, Tonga7,333
+
Fiji6,955 
Tonga378 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 184 -
- - - - - Fiji, Tonga
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmWallis and Futuna, Tonga, Fiji452,404
+
Fiji439,440 
Wallis and Futuna12,963 
Tonga01 
50-100 mmTuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga464,329
+
Tuvalu1,834 
Solomon Islands958 
Fiji458,675 
Wallis and Futuna2,598 
Tonga264 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 1043 450 thousand
- - - - Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 14 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Ba Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.3
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Naindi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:15 Nadi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:15 Namaka Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:00 Momi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 09:45 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 09:45 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 09:45 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 09:45 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 09:45 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:00 Solevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 11:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 11:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 11:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 11:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 11:45 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:30 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 08:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Sisili Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:45 Togowere Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Thavanga Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:45 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Lao Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Vangai Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Nawi Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 08:30 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 08:30 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Malake Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Naua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nailou Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Napuka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:15 Naingani Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Korovou Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Navuti Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:00 Nacula Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 06:30 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:45 Tawake Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:45 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:15 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:15 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:15 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:15 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:15 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:15 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:00 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:00 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:00 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 09:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:45 Navotua Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 10:30 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 11:45 Nasea Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 07:45 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 07:45 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 07:45 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1