Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population 70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 281 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (16 Dec 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 281 km/h 0.8 m 178 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 70 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Fiji173 
CAT. 2Fiji27,914 
CAT. 1Fiji44,140 
Tropical StormFiji607,709 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 238 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 223 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 17 16 Dec 2020 12:00 227 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 18 16 Dec 2020 18:00 281 70 thousand
- - Fiji
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmFiji9,526 
250-500 mmFiji426,453 
100-250 mmFiji215,301 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga, Fiji230,792
+
Solomon Islands941 
Tuvalu481 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 
Tonga265 
Fiji213,544 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 16 Dec 2020 12:00 254 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 18 16 Dec 2020 18:00 562 650 thousand
- - Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga, Fiji




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Matacawalevu, Fiji. This height is estimated for 16 Dec 2020 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.8
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Sisili Fiji  0.8
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Nacula Fiji  0.8
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Navotua Fiji  0.8
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Tamusua Fiji  0.8
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.7
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Teci Fiji  0.7
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Soso Fiji  0.6
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.5
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Naindi Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Korosi Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Naweni Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Viani Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Mbukama Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Yasawairara Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Lao Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Nailou Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Nawi Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Vunikura Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Napuka Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 21:15 Vangai Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Natunuka Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Tavua Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Rabulu Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Togowere Fiji  0.5
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Navindamu Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Nagumu Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Nanduri Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Nailanga Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Sorokoba Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Ba Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Naingani Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Rakiraki Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Vaileka Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Nasau Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Vatutandova Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Nasea Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 20:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 20:00 Thavanga Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 20:00 Ndaria Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 20:00 Rave-rave Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 20:00 Ndawara Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Malake Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Canala New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Vunivatu Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Korovou Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Navuti Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 20:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Kasavu Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Lautoka Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Waisa Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Natua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 00:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 21:15 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Tavua Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Navukembuli Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Naua Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Namukalau Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Tawake Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Nukusa Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Meriver Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Lamap Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Rukuruku Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Nauouo Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Nausori Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Cautata Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Dromuna Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Namaka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Solevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Levuka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Lokia Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:30 Nasilai Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Nadi Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Nambouono Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Laucala Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:45 Momi Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Makongai Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Lomawal Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Mbatiri Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Galoa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Waisomo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Lalati Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Navua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Mau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Nathamaki Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Cuvu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Sigatoka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Laselase Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Nakondu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Nasau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Mae Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Terou Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Worovok Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Vatukarasa Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Korovisilou Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Korolevu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Korovou Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Taunovo Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 21:15 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:30 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:30 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:30 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:30 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Navakawau Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Bouwanga Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 23:00 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Kalokolevu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Suva Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Tamavua Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Lauthala Bay Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:45 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 21:30 Dalice Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:45 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:30 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 19:30 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 18:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 21:45 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 21:45 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 21:45 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Sawaieke Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Vione Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:30 Hog Harbour Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Gavigamana Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:15 Vipaka Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 22:45 Mou New Caledonia  0.1