Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (29 Sep 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 115 km/h 0.6 m 178 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 119 km/h 1.0 m 883 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 26 Sep 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 2 26 Sep 2020 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 3 27 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Sep 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Sep 2020 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 7 29 Sep 2020 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Sep 2020 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands, Guam39,319
+
Northern Mariana Islands38,690 
Guam629 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 26 Sep 2020 00:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 26 Sep 2020 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Sep 2020 00:00 62 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Sep 2020 00:00 372 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Sep 2020 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 Sep 2020 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Sep 2020 12:00 312 -
- - - - - Northern Mariana Islands, Guam




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Onirusu, Russia. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2020 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Onirusu Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Protochnaya Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Golovnino Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Alekhino Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Danilovo Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Oshiusu Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.6
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Svetloye Japan  0.6
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Nishi-wada Japan  0.6
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Nemuro Japan  0.6
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Nakanokotan Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Medelevo Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Goryachiy Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.5
29 Sep 2020 22:30 Odaito Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 22:30 Tokotan Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 22:30 Bekkai Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Malaya Rechka Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Il'inka Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Gavrilovka Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Grigor'yevo Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 21:30 Churuigenya Japan  0.4
29 Sep 2020 21:30 Kumbetsu Japan  0.4
29 Sep 2020 21:30 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.4
29 Sep 2020 21:30 Shibetsu Japan  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Nazarovo Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Krutenki Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Kunashiri Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 06:00 Rausu Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 22:00 Tomoshiri Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 20:15 Rudnaya Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 20:15 Tyatino Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Aitomari Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Chipputomari Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Utoro Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Hamanaka Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Kiritappu Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Moraito Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Osenniy Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Otlivnyy Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Zolotoy Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Chikkaporo Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Kasatka Russia  0.3
02 Oct 2020 00:15 Ruchi Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 20:15 Mysovoye Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:15 Podgornyy Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 21:45 Hikiushi Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 21:45 Nassafu Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Sunahama Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Pontokomoi Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Kamenka Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Kitaura Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Nishimae Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Tokkariiso Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Kafenotsu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Higashirucharu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Parusnoye Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 07:15 Reydovo Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 07:15 Rokubanchi Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Harmon Village Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Oceanview Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Dededo Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 South Acres Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Ipapao Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Potts Junction Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Perez Acres Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Upi Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Gayinero Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Asatdas Guam  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Lupog Guam  0.3
30 Sep 2020 15:15 Shamambe Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:30 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:45 Masuba Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:45 Kombuusu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:45 Ayvazovskoye Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:45 Anama Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:45 Kekkyowan Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:45 Shikotan Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Mo-chirippu Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:15 Gordeyevka Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Kompaneysk Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Ryabinovka Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Kastrikum Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:30 Zeikomae Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:30 Akiajiba Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 01:00 Slavnoye Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:00 Medvezhye Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 20:00 Ptichye Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 20:00 Kruglovo Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:00 Kambaraiso Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Riyaushi Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Rokko Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Mammae Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Okeanskiy Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Mataruzaru Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 16:15 Sopochnyy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 16:15 Sokitani Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 16:15 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Kurilsk Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Yanketo Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Kitovyy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Matoiso Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Akkeshi Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Shinryu Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Itoizawa Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Nov' Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Mysovaya Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Tayezhnyy Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Lesozavodskiy Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Dobroye Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Odesskiy Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Selivanovka Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Iodnyy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Sasirui Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:30 Berezovka Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 09:00 Tokkarimui Japan  0.2
30 Sep 2020 09:00 Kobukarikotan Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:15 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Rybaki Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Chippuporo Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Rebaushi Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 07:30 Aleutka Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Neskuchnoye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 21:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 21:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 15:45 Astaurova Russia  0.1
30 Sep 2020 06:30 Kraternyy Russia  0.1
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Kitoboynyy Russia  0.1
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Kostochko Russia  0.1