Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (29 Sep 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 0.8 m 372 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 119 km/h 1.0 m 883 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia73 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 26 Sep 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 2 26 Sep 2020 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 3 27 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Sep 2020 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Russia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands38,159 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 26 Sep 2020 00:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 26 Sep 2020 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Sep 2020 00:00 62 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Sep 2020 00:00 393 -
- - - - - Northern Mariana Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Onirusu, Russia. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2020 00:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Onirusu Russia  0.8
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Protochnaya Russia  0.8
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Golovnino Russia  0.8
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Alekhino Russia  0.8
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Danilovo Russia  0.8
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Oshiusu Russia  0.8
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.7
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Svetloye Japan  0.7
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.7
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Nemuro Japan  0.7
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Nakanokotan Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Medelevo Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Goryachiy Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Tokotan Japan  0.6
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Bekkai Japan  0.6
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Odaito Japan  0.6
29 Sep 2020 00:15 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.5
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Churuigenya Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Kumbetsu Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Shibetsu Japan  0.5
28 Sep 2020 03:15 Kompaneysk Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 03:15 Ryabinovka Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 03:15 Kastrikum Russia  0.5
29 Sep 2020 01:30 Tomoshiri Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 10:00 Shamambe Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 10:00 Reydovo Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 10:00 Rokubanchi Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 11:00 Higashirucharu Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Nazarovo Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Gavrilovka Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Grigor'yevo Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Krutenki Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Kunashiri Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Malaya Rechka Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:30 Il'inka Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 03:00 Rudnaya Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 03:00 Tyatino Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 01:15 Hikiushi Japan  0.4
29 Sep 2020 10:00 Parusnoye Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 03:45 Kraternyy Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 00:30 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 03:00 Mysovoye Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 03:15 Ruchi Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:15 Aleutka Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 01:00 Nassafu Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 03:30 Kitoboynyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 03:30 Kostochko Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 03:00 Gordeyevka Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 05:00 Slavnoye Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 05:00 Medvezhye Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:15 Podgornyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Chikkaporo Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Kasatka Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:00 Sopochnyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:00 Sokitani Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:00 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Mo-chirippu Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Hamanaka Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Kiritappu Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Moraito Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Sunahama Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Aitomari Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Pontokomoi Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Kamenka Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Kitaura Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Nishimae Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Tokkariiso Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Kafenotsu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Rausu Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Osenniy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Otlivnyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Zolotoy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 03:00 Kruglovo Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 09:45 Chipputomari Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 09:45 Utoro Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:00 Kurilsk Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:00 Yanketo Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:00 Kitovyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:00 Matoiso Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:45 Zeikomae Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 23:45 Akiajiba Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 10:00 Ptichye Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 05:00 Anama Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 05:00 Kekkyowan Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 05:00 Shikotan Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 05:00 Kambaraiso Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Mataruzaru Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Selivanovka Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Iodnyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Nov' Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 04:00 Mysovaya Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 03:45 Astaurova Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 02:30 Rybaki Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 02:30 Chippuporo Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Oceanview Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Dededo Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 South Acres Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Ipapao Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Upi Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Gayinero Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Asatdas Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Lupog Guam  0.2
28 Sep 2020 04:15 Itoizawa Japan  0.2
28 Sep 2020 04:15 Rokko Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 04:15 Mammae Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 04:15 Okeanskiy Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 23:30 Masuba Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 23:30 Kombuusu Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 23:30 Ayvazovskoye Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 16:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 16:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 16:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 16:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
28 Sep 2020 03:30 Riyaushi Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Sasirui Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 23:15 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Tayezhnyy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Lesozavodskiy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Dobroye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Odesskiy Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 07:30 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
28 Sep 2020 03:30 Berezovka Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 15:45 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 15:45 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 15:45 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Akkeshi Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 02:00 Shinryu Japan  0.2
28 Sep 2020 07:15 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 09:45 Tokkarimui Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 09:45 Kobukarikotan Japan  0.2
28 Sep 2020 02:45 Neskuchnoye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Rebaushi Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 07:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 07:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2