Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KUJIRA-20 Off-shore from 26 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC to 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20

Off-shore

27 Sep 2020 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Russia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.0 m (27 Sep 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	76 km/h	1.0 m	127 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	119 km/h	1.0 m	883 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

119 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Russia	03

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	26 Sep 2020 00:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
2	26 Sep 2020 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
3	27 Sep 2020 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	27 Sep 2020 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	26 Sep 2020 00:00	181	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	26 Sep 2020 12:00	157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	27 Sep 2020 00:00	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	27 Sep 2020 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.0m in Onirusu, Russia. This height is estimated for 27 Sep 2020 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Onirusu	Russia	1.0
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Protochnaya	Russia	1.0
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Golovnino	Russia	1.0
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Alekhino	Russia	1.0
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Danilovo	Russia	1.0
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Oshiusu	Russia	1.0
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Chibukarabetsu	Russia	0.9
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Nakanokotan	Russia	0.9
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Medelevo	Russia	0.9
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Goryachiy	Russia	0.9
	27 Sep 2020 20:45	Yuzhno-Kurilsk	Russia	0.8
	27 Sep 2020 22:30	Fushiko-tobuto	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 22:30	Svetloye	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 22:30	Nishi-wada	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 22:30	Nemuro	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Churuigenya	Japan	0.6
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Kumbetsu	Japan	0.6
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Rukushibetsu	Japan	0.6
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Shibetsu	Japan	0.6
	29 Sep 2020 02:00	Tokotan	Japan	0.6
	29 Sep 2020 02:00	Bekkai	Japan	0.6
	29 Sep 2020 02:00	Odaito	Japan	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 03:15	Kompaneysk	Russia	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 03:15	Ryabinovka	Russia	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 03:15	Kastrikum	Russia	0.6
	27 Sep 2020 20:15	Gavrilovka	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:15	Malaya Rechka	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:15	Il'inka	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:15	Grigor'yevo	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Nazarovo	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Krutenki	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Kunashiri	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Rudnaya	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Tyatino	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Mysovoye	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Gordeyevka	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Ruchi	Russia	0.4
	29 Sep 2020 01:30	Tomoshiri	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Osenniy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Otlivnyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Zolotoy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Chikkaporo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Kuybyshevo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Kasatka	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Kruglovo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Anama	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Kekkyowan	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Shikotan	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Kambaraiso	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Ptichye	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Sernozavodskiy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Higashirucharu	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Parusnoye	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Podgornyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Hikiushi	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Nassafu	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Shamambe	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Reydovo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Rokubanchi	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 21:00	Moshirikeshi	Russia	0.4
	28 Sep 2020 03:45	Kraternyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:30	Aitomari	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Nov'	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Mysovaya	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:45	Rausu	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Masuba	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Kombuusu	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Ayvazovskoye	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Hamanaka	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Kiritappu	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Moraito	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:15	Kitaura	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:15	Tokkariiso	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:15	Kafenotsu	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Sopochnyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Sentyabrskiy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Okeanskiy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Odesskiy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Mataruzaru	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Selivanovka	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Iodnyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Tayezhnyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Lesozavodskiy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Dobroye	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Kamenka	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Nishimae	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Sanjibotsu	Russia	0.4
	28 Sep 2020 02:30	Slavnoye	Russia	0.4
	28 Sep 2020 02:30	Medvezhye	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Rokko	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Mammae	Russia	0.4
	28 Sep 2020 04:15	Aleutka	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Riyaushi	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Mo-chirippu	Japan	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 03:45	Kitoboynyy	Russia	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 03:45	Kostochko	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Berezovka	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Astaurova	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 20:00	Sokitani	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Sunahama	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Pontokomoi	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Itoizawa	Japan	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Kurilsk	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Yanketo	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Kitovyy	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Matoiso	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Zeikomae	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:15	Akiajiba	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Akkeshi	Japan	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:30	Shinryu	Japan	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 17:45	Sasirui	Japan	0.3
	29 Sep 2020 01:15	Chipputomari	Japan	0.3
	29 Sep 2020 01:15	Utoro	Japan	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:15	Rybaki	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:15	Chippuporo	Russia	0.3
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Harmon Village	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Oceanview	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Dededo	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	South Acres	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Ipapao	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Potts Junction	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Perez Acres	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Spring Hill Subdivision	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Upi	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Gayinero	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Asatdas	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Lupog	Guam	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 17:45	Tokkarimui	Japan	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 17:45	Kobukarikotan	Japan	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Asbeco	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Adacao	Guam	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 17:45	Rebaushi	Russia	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Songsong	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 16:00	Barrigada	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 16:00	Camp Quezon	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Teteto	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Rota	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Sinapalo	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 18:30	Neskuchnoye	Russia	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Sunharon Roads	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Afetna	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Susupi	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Laolao	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Garapan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Mutcho	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Chalan Kanoa	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Aslito	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Tanapag	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Saipan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	San Roque	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 23:15	Kagman	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 07:00	Shomushon	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 07:00	Marasu	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.