Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.3 m 327 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 126 km/h 1.0 m 535 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

126 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 352 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 517 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 315 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 404 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Cortes, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 12:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 17:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 14:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 14:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 14:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 17:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 17:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 18:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 18:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 18:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 16:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 16:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 16:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 16:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 16:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 16:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 12:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 13:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 17:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1