Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
21 Sep 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (21 Sep 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.7 m 352 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 126 km/h 1.0 m 535 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

126 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico149 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 554 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2020 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2020 17:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.7
21 Sep 2020 17:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2020 17:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2020 17:15 Cedros Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2020 17:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 12:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 12:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 12:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 15:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 15:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1