Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
21 Sep 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (21 Sep 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.6 m 517 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 126 km/h 1.0 m 535 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

126 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 352 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 535 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2020 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.6
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.6
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Cedros Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 21:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 21:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 21:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 21:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 22:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 22:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1