Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
Impact Single TC
ECMWF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.4 m (08 Feb 04:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 133 km/h 2.4 m 324 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 133 km/h 2.4 m 550 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia21765 
Tropical StormAustralia22826 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Feb 2020 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2020 12:00 133 20 thousand
- - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia35511
+
Indonesia35465 
Australia46 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia6142958
+
Indonesia6086784 
Timor-Leste19054 
Australia37120 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia21017752
+
Indonesia20300117 
Timor-Leste706464 
Australia11171 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 511 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 00:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Feb 2020 00:00 221 70 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste
Blue 5 07 Feb 2020 12:00 324 620 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.4m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 04:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Dampier Australia  2.4
08 Feb 2020 04:30 Karratha Australia  2.4
08 Feb 2020 04:45 East Lewis I Australia  1.5
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Wickham Australia  1.4
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Point Samson Australia  1.4
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Cossack Australia  1.4
07 Feb 2020 21:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.6
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Derby Australia  0.5
08 Feb 2020 00:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Derby Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 21:15 Condon Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 22:30 Pardoo Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 15:00 Mardie Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 01:30 Albany Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 01:30 Emu Point Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2020 11:15 Thangoo Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2020 16:00 Pender Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 11:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 11:00 Waterbank Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 11:00 Broome Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:00 Denmark Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:00 Youngs Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 07:45 Parryville Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 11:15 Onslow Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 16:45 Eyre Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 07:30 Glenroy Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 17:00 Thundulda Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 12:45 Oakdale Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 12:45 Minarup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Woereh Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Lewohajong Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Koekoewerang Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Throng Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Adoenara Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Lamakera Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Papelawe Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Sagu Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Wotanglolong Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Lewokeling Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Witihama Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Boleng Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Nereng Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Lewoleba Indonesia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 03:45 Lamanuna Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:15 Sokabana Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 14:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 14:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:45 Kelapang Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Exmouth Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 19:45 Aermata Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 19:45 Klampis Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 19:45 Sapulu Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:15 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:15 Belukares Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:15 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:30 Puteran Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:30 Lombang Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:30 Banraas Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:30 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:00 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:00 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link