Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
Impact Single TC
ECMWF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 4 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Feb 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.5 m 511 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 133 km/h 2.4 m 550 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia4076 
Tropical StormAustralia35318 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 144 4 thousand
- - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia1875 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia184294
+
Indonesia180481 
Australia3813 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia5415112
+
Indonesia5344959 
Timor-Leste36552 
Australia33601 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 550 190 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 05 Feb 2020 21:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Feb 2020 21:15 Derby Australia  0.5
05 Feb 2020 20:45 Derby Australia  0.5
05 Feb 2020 22:00 Albany Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2020 22:00 Emu Point Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2020 16:00 Pender Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2020 17:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2020 16:30 Pardoo Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2020 15:45 Condon Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:45 Karratha Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 23:15 Dampier Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 20:30 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 13:45 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 13:45 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 13:45 Oakdale Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 21:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 13:30 Minarup Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2020 16:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link