Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
Impact Single TC
ECMWF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.9 m (08 Feb 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 2.9 m 211 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 133 km/h 2.4 m 550 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Australia9 
CAT. 1Australia24041 
Tropical StormAustralia8331 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 00:00 155 20 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmAustralia117 
250-500 mmAustralia18305 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia80595
+
Indonesia74768 
Australia5827 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia5957024
+
Indonesia5782746 
Timor-Leste164672 
Australia9606 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 511 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 00:00 561 100 thousand
- - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.9m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 07:45 Dampier Australia  2.9
08 Feb 2020 07:45 Karratha Australia  2.9
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Wickham Australia  1.8
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Point Samson Australia  1.8
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Cossack Australia  1.8
08 Feb 2020 07:45 East Lewis I Australia  1.3
08 Feb 2020 02:30 Port Hedland Australia  0.5
08 Feb 2020 01:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
06 Feb 2020 23:30 Condon Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 16:45 Mardie Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 00:00 Derby Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Pardoo Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2020 01:30 Albany Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 01:30 Emu Point Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 12:15 Thangoo Australia  0.3
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Denmark Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:45 Youngs Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:30 Parryville Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 11:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 11:00 Waterbank Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 11:00 Broome Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 01:30 Pender Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 00:00 Derby Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 03:30 Kollan I Australia  0.1
06 Feb 2020 12:45 Oakdale Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Minarup Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 13:15 Onslow Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 11:45 Glenroy Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 06:15 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link