Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
Impact Single TC
ECMWF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.2 m (08 Feb 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 115 km/h 2.2 m 221 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 133 km/h 2.4 m 550 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia15352 
Tropical StormAustralia15980 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Feb 2020 00:00 137 20 thousand
- - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia137 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia3737830
+
Indonesia3707115 
Australia30715 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia10441498
+
Indonesia10250754 
Timor-Leste174776 
Australia15968 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Feb 2020 12:00 511 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 00:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Feb 2020 00:00 348 3.7 million
- - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.2m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Dampier Australia  2.2
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Karratha Australia  2.2
08 Feb 2020 03:30 East Lewis I Australia  1.6
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Wickham Australia  1.4
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Point Samson Australia  1.4
08 Feb 2020 04:45 Cossack Australia  1.4
07 Feb 2020 15:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.6
07 Feb 2020 23:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 13:45 Condon Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 14:45 Pardoo Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 15:45 Mardie Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Albany Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2020 01:00 Emu Point Australia  0.3
08 Feb 2020 13:00 Derby Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 21:15 Thangoo Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Denmark Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Youngs Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 08:15 Parryville Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Derby Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 08:30 Glenroy Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 17:15 Eyre Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 13:30 Onslow Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 17:00 Thundulda Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Waterbank Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 00:00 Broome Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:30 Oakdale Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:45 Minarup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 12:45 Exmouth Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 10:00 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 10:00 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 09:00 Kollan I Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 08:45 Pender Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:15 Tambak Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 20:15 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 13:00 Learmonth Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 19:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 19:45 Kelapang Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 19:45 Sokabana Indonesia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link