Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
22 Sep 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Sep 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.0 m 397 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 50 km/h 0.0 m 397 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

50 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 166 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 21 Sep 2019 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 21 Sep 2019 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 18 21 Sep 2019 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 22 Sep 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 22 Sep 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico169,127 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 381 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 203 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 246 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 241 390 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 275 500 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 143 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 290 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 21 Sep 2019 06:00 118 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 17 21 Sep 2019 12:00 147 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 21 Sep 2019 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 22 Sep 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 22 Sep 2019 06:00 397 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2019 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2019 19:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2019 19:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 09:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 09:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 09:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2019 19:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2019 02:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2019 02:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2019 12:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2019 01:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2019 01:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2019 01:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2019 06:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 14:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2019 06:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 07:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 20:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 12:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 06:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 06:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 06:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 06:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 14:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 21:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 08:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2019 19:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1