Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mexico,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 46 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

46 km/h Current

Up to <1000 people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 139 Few people No people
Green 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 130 Few people No people
Green 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 120 Few people No people
Green 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 120 Few people No people
Green 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 130 No people No people
Green 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 130 Few people No people
Green 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 130 Few people No people Mexico
Green 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 130 Few people No people Mexico
Green 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
Green 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 93 Few people No people
Green 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
Green 12 20 Sep 2019 00:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
Green 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 111 Few people No people Mexico
Green 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 102 Few people No people Mexico
Green 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 102 Few people No people Mexico
Green 16 21 Sep 2019 06:00 93 Few people No people Mexico
Green 17 21 Sep 2019 12:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
Green 18 21 Sep 2019 18:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
Green 19 22 Sep 2019 00:00 65 Few people No people Mexico
Green 20 22 Sep 2019 06:00 56 Few people No people Mexico
Green 21 22 Sep 2019 12:00 56 Few people No people Mexico
Green 22 22 Sep 2019 18:00 56 Few people No people Mexico
Green 23 23 Sep 2019 00:00 56 Few people No people Mexico
Green 24 23 Sep 2019 06:00 46 Few people No people Mexico
Green 25 23 Sep 2019 12:00 46 Few people No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.5, -108
GREEN
2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12, -108.5
GREEN
3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -108.9
GREEN
4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.4, -109.6
GREEN
5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.2, -110.7
GREEN
6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 14.6, -111.5
GREEN
7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.1, -112.1
GREEN
8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.6, -111.9
GREEN
9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.2, -111.9
GREEN
10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.7, -110.8
GREEN
11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.3, -110.4
GREEN
12 20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.3, -110.4
GREEN
13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 <1000 people no people 17.7, -110.1 Mexico
GREEN
14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 <1000 people no people 17.8, -110.1 Mexico
GREEN
15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 <1000 people no people 18.2, -110.1 Mexico
GREEN
16 21 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 <1000 people no people 18.6, -110.2 Mexico
GREEN
17 21 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 <1000 people no people 18.9, -110.4 Mexico
GREEN
18 21 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 <1000 people no people 19.3, -110.5 Mexico
GREEN
19 22 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 <1000 people no people 19.9, -110.6
GREEN
20 22 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.6, -111.1
GREEN
21 22 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.7, -111.6
GREEN
22 22 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.5, -112.2
GREEN
23 23 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.1, -112.7
GREEN
24 23 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 23.9, -113.3
GREEN
25 23 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 24.6, -114.2
GREEN
25 24 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 26, -114.7
GREEN
25 24 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 26.9, -114.4 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Baja California Sur Mexico 340000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Isla Socorro 100 0 728 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Socorro Island Mexico 727 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.