Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAINE-22 Off-shore from 03 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC to 05 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAINE-22

Off-shore

05 Oct 2022 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (07 Oct 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	65 km/h	0.3 m	22 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	79 km/h	0.3 m	346 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Oct 2022 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Oct 2022 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	04 Oct 2022 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	05 Oct 2022 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	05 Oct 2022 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 05 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	308	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Oct 2022 06:00	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Oct 2022 12:00	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	04 Oct 2022 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	05 Oct 2022 00:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	05 Oct 2022 06:00	253	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Oct 2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Oct 2022 20:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.3
	07 Oct 2022 19:45	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	06 Oct 2022 05:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.3
	06 Oct 2022 05:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 15:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 15:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 08:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 08:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 09:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 15:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 07:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 07:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 07:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Clifton	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Redondo Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Rolling Hills	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	San Pedro	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Wilmington	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Surfside	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 02:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Huntington Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 15:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	San Buenaventura	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:15	Oxnard	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	The Muirlands	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Azure Vista	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Ocean Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Mission Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Roseville	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Loma Portal	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	San Diego	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Coronado	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Imperial Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Boal	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 22:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 22:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 22:15	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 05:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 05:45	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:30	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Santa Monica	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Sawtelle	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Marina del Rey	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Playa del Rey	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Alsace	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	El Segundo	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Palos Verdes Estates	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Castellammare	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:45	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:45	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:15	La Tuza	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 03:45	Malibu	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 03:45	Monte Nido	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:30	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:30	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 01:45	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 07:30	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:15	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 01:45	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 03:45	Malibu Vista	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 03:45	El Nido	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 03:45	Malibu Bowl	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 18:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:30	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Cardiff-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	La Jolla	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Solana Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Del Mar	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Easter Cross	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Sorrento	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Carlsbad	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Ponto	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Leucadia	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Encinitas	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Green Valley Mobile Estates	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Malibu West	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Point Dume	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:45	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Avalon	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:00	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Laguna Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Canyon Acres	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Top of the World	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	South Laguna	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Capistrano Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	San Clemente	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Agra	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:15	Encino Solo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:15	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:15	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 03:45	Two Harbors	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Solromar	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 13:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Sycamore	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	El Descanso	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	La Mision	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 13:00	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 13:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 13:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:45	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:15	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Stuart	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Fallbrook Junction	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:45	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Camp Pendleton South	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Escondido Junction	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Oceanside	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	Cliff Haven	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	Bay Shores	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	Balboa	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	Corona del Mar	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	Crystal Cove	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	San Joaquin Hills	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:30	Emerald Bay	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:30	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:00	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 18:45	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 18:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 10:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 10:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 16:15	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 21:15	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 16:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 14:45	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 15:30	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 00:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 00:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 00:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:15	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:15	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:45	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 15:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:15	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:15	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:45	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:45	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 23:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:30	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 12:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.