Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAINE-22 Off-shore from 03 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC to 05 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAINE-22

Off-shore

04 Oct 2022 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (05 Oct 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	61 km/h	0.4 m	82 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	79 km/h	0.3 m	346 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Oct 2022 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	308	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Oct 2022 06:00	653	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Oct 2022 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Oct 2022 08:30	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.4
	05 Oct 2022 08:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 07:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 07:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 08:30	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 14:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 10:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 09:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 02:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 02:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 04:30	San Buenaventura	United States	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 04:30	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 04:30	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 04:30	Oxnard	United States	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 05:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 05:45	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Clifton	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Redondo Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Rolling Hills	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Surfside	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:45	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 12:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 04:30	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	The Muirlands	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Mission Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Roseville	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	San Diego	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Coronado	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Boal	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:00	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:00	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:00	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 11:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:45	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:30	La Tuza	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:30	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 15:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 15:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 12:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:00	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:00	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 19:15	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 19:15	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Castellammare	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Santa Monica	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Sawtelle	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Marina del Rey	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Playa del Rey	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Alsace	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	El Segundo	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Palos Verdes Estates	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:15	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 15:30	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:30	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 04:45	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 05:30	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 00:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Sycamore	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:45	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 04:15	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Malibu	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Monte Nido	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Malibu Vista	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	El Nido	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Malibu Bowl	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:15	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Solromar	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 07:45	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 12:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 05:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:00	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:15	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Malibu West	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Point Dume	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Two Harbors	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Avalon	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.