Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAINE-22 Off-shore from 03 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC to 05 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAINE-22

Off-shore

04 Oct 2022 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (04 Oct 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	47 km/h	0.2 m	192 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	79 km/h	0.4 m	331 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	23,151,285

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	343	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Tecomate, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Oct 2022 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 01:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 03:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	San Pedro	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Wilmington	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Surfside	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Clifton	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Redondo Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Rolling Hills	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Malibu	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Monte Nido	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Castellammare	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Santa Monica	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Sawtelle	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Marina del Rey	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Playa del Rey	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Alsace	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	El Segundo	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	The Muirlands	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Mission Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Roseville	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	San Diego	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Coronado	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Boal	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Malibu Vista	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	El Nido	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Malibu Bowl	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Palos Verdes Estates	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Malibu West	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Point Dume	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Solromar	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Sycamore	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Two Harbors	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Cliff Haven	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Bay Shores	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Balboa	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Corona del Mar	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Avalon	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Crystal Cove	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	San Joaquin Hills	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Emerald Bay	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Laguna Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Canyon Acres	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Top of the World	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	South Laguna	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Capistrano Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	San Clemente	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Agra	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Stuart	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Fallbrook Junction	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Encino Solo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Camp Pendleton South	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Escondido Junction	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Oceanside	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Carlsbad	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Ponto	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Leucadia	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Encinitas	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Green Valley Mobile Estates	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Cardiff-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Solana Beach	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Del Mar	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	La Jolla	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Easter Cross	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Sorrento	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:00	Molino	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.