Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
24 Oct 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico, United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Oct 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 126 km/h 0.3 m 116 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico, United States103,387
+
Mexico103,383 
United States04 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico, United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

471 mm

Up to 410 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico408,729 
50-100 mmMexico1,592,112 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 566 410 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2021 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2021 20:45 La Choya Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 07:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Palacios United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Simpsonville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Galveston United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Elmgrove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Constance Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Holly Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 00:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 00:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Anahuac United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Estes United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Lamar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Cameron United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Pelly United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:00 Todville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Sixmile United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Olivia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 High Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Gilchrist United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 07:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 07:45 Joluta Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 07:00 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Hitchcock United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 07:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 16:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 17:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 18:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 23:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 07:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 North Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Doyle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Portland United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Gregory United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 02:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 21:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 21:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 23:15 City Arroyo United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 23:15 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 23:15 Buena Vista United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 18:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 18:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 17:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 17:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 17:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 02:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 22:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 22:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 22:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Quintana United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Surfside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Mims United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1