Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
23 Oct 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Oct 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.3 m 166 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico675 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 173 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico2,046,540 
50-100 mmMexico3,499,036 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 726 2 million
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2021 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2021 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Constance Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Holly Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Cameron United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Sabine United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.3
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Anahuac United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Smith Point United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 San Leon United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 High Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Sixmile United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Point Comfort United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Olivia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Weedhaven United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Port Alto United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 03:15 Calvario Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Galveston United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Palacios United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Collegeport United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Simpsonville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Estes United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Rockport United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Copano Village United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Fulton United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Lamar United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 02:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Austwell United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 North Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Doyle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Portland United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Gregory United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 16:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Joluta Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 18:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 18:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 18:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 18:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1