Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGGA-20
in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGGA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (24 May 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 1.4 m 178 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 1.4 m 520 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 9 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 May 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia8,623 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 May 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 May 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 May 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 May 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 22 May 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 May 2020 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 May 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Australia69,644
+
Indonesia27,951 
Australia41,693 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 May 2020 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 May 2020 00:00 438 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 21 May 2020 12:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 May 2020 00:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 22 May 2020 12:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 May 2020 00:00 226 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.4m in Useless Loop, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 May 2020 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 May 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 May 2020 07:15 Useless Loop Australia  1.4
24 May 2020 07:15 Dirk Hartog Australia  1.3
24 May 2020 08:30 Tamala Australia  1.2
24 May 2020 09:15 Nanga Australia  1.0
24 May 2020 09:30 Carrarang Australia  1.0
24 May 2020 12:30 Gladstone Australia  1.0
24 May 2020 07:15 Denham Australia  1.0
24 May 2020 14:45 Hamelin Pool Australia  1.0
24 May 2020 14:45 Hamelin Australia  1.0
24 May 2020 11:00 Shark Bay Australia  0.9
24 May 2020 11:00 Monkey Mia Australia  0.9
24 May 2020 09:15 Carnarvon Australia  0.8
24 May 2020 08:15 Kalbarri Australia  0.7
24 May 2020 10:00 Learmonth Australia  0.7
24 May 2020 19:30 Wickham Australia  0.7
24 May 2020 19:30 Point Samson Australia  0.7
24 May 2020 19:30 Cossack Australia  0.7
25 May 2020 01:30 Port Hedland Australia  0.6
25 May 2020 01:30 Wedgefield Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 19:15 Dampier Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 19:15 Karratha Australia  0.6
25 May 2020 02:45 Condon Australia  0.5
25 May 2020 02:45 Pardoo Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 18:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 09:00 Quobba Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 10:00 Mardie Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 09:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 09:15 Exmouth Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 09:15 Onslow Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 09:15 Glenroy Australia  0.4
24 May 2020 08:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.4
24 May 2020 09:00 Warroora Australia  0.4
24 May 2020 22:00 Arongsantek Indonesia  0.4
24 May 2020 22:00 Miro Indonesia  0.4
24 May 2020 22:00 Pekat Indonesia  0.4
24 May 2020 22:00 Utan Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Pato Pedoe Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Sumbawa Besar Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 17:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.3
24 May 2020 21:45 Idjok Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 21:45 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 21:45 Alas Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 21:45 Pernang Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Lepeloang Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Soengian Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 08:45 Cardabia Australia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Sembelie Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Desa Anjar Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Bayan Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Salangan Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:00 Soeroengdjoekoeng Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 22:15 Mangsit Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:15 Pamenang Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:15 Tandjung Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:15 Tianjar Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:15 Gretek Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Kubu Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Tjulik Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Lembar Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Tandjoengkarang Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Geroeng Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Labuhanpon Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Blongas Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:15 Tejakula Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:15 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Karangasem Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:15 Djoelah Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Tenganan Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Amlapura Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Soega Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 08:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:00 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:00 Mintaoe Nae Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:00 Oi Sengari Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 08:15 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:45 Wara Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:45 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:45 Kampoeng Maladjoe Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:45 Sowa Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:45 Bontoh Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:30 Sanggar Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:45 Toronaroe Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:30 Lenteng Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:30 Rinca Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:30 Lo'o Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:30 Mboera Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:30 Labuhanbadjo Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:30 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:30 Nggorang Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:15 Sape Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 06:15 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
23 May 2020 07:00 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Labih Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 22:30 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 07:00 Komodo Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 14:45 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 14:45 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 14:45 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 14:45 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 14:45 Benua Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 14:45 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 14:45 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 05:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 21:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 21:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 21:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 21:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 21:00 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 21:00 Negara Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 14:45 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:45 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
24 May 2020 05:15 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
24 May 2020 05:15 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Lena Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Huu Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Madawa Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Polo Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:15 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:15 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:00 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:00 Karendi Indonesia  0.1