Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MANGGA-20 in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands from 21 May 2020 06:00 UTC to 23 May 2020 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGGA-20

in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands

22 May 2020 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGGA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.6 m (24 May 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	61 km/h	1.6 m	171 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	112 km/h	1.4 m	520 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 May 2020 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia	12,226	+
	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	01
	Australia	12,225

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	20 May 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	21 May 2020 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 May 2020 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	22 May 2020 00:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 May 2020 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Australia	178,337	+
	Indonesia	177,352
	Australia	985

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	20 May 2020 12:00	161	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	21 May 2020 00:00	438	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
3	21 May 2020 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	22 May 2020 00:00	296	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.6m in Useless Loop, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 May 2020 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 May 2020 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 May 2020 08:00	Useless Loop	Australia	1.6
	24 May 2020 07:15	Dirk Hartog	Australia	1.4
	24 May 2020 08:45	Tamala	Australia	1.2
	24 May 2020 12:15	Gladstone	Australia	1.2
	24 May 2020 15:00	Hamelin Pool	Australia	1.2
	24 May 2020 15:00	Hamelin	Australia	1.2
	24 May 2020 07:15	Denham	Australia	1.1
	24 May 2020 09:00	Nanga	Australia	1.1
	24 May 2020 09:15	Carrarang	Australia	1.0
	24 May 2020 12:00	Shark Bay	Australia	1.0
	24 May 2020 12:00	Monkey Mia	Australia	1.0
	24 May 2020 09:15	Carnarvon	Australia	0.9
	24 May 2020 08:15	Kalbarri	Australia	0.8
	24 May 2020 06:15	Learmonth	Australia	0.8
	24 May 2020 17:15	Port Hedland	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 17:15	Wedgefield	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 18:30	Wickham	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 18:30	Point Samson	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 18:30	Cossack	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 09:00	Mardie	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 17:45	East Lewis I	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 08:15	Quobba	Australia	0.6
	24 May 2020 09:15	Onslow	Australia	0.5
	24 May 2020 16:30	Dampier	Australia	0.5
	24 May 2020 08:15	Cape Cuvier	Australia	0.5
	24 May 2020 09:15	Glenroy	Australia	0.5
	24 May 2020 09:15	Exmouth	Australia	0.5
	22 May 2020 00:30	Arongsantek	Indonesia	0.5
	22 May 2020 00:30	Pekat	Indonesia	0.5
	22 May 2020 00:30	Miro	Indonesia	0.5
	24 May 2020 17:00	Pardoo	Australia	0.5
	24 May 2020 18:15	Karratha	Australia	0.5
	22 May 2020 00:30	Utan	Indonesia	0.5
	22 May 2020 00:30	Pato Pedoe	Indonesia	0.5
	22 May 2020 00:30	Sumbawa Besar	Indonesia	0.5
	24 May 2020 18:00	Condon	Australia	0.5
	24 May 2020 07:15	Warroora	Australia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:45	Idjok	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:45	Pernang	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:45	Laboean Mapin	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:45	Alas	Indonesia	0.4
	24 May 2020 07:15	Gnaraloo	Australia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:45	Lepeloang	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:45	Sembelie	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:45	Soengian	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 01:00	Lombok	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:30	Desa Anjar	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:30	Bayan	Indonesia	0.4
	22 May 2020 00:30	Salangan	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 06:45	Pringgabaja	Indonesia	0.3
	24 May 2020 09:45	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Mangsit	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Pamenang	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Tandjung	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Soeroengdjoekoeng	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:45	Labuhanpon	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:45	Blongas	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:45	Lembar	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:45	Tandjoengkarang	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:45	Geroeng	Indonesia	0.3
	24 May 2020 07:00	Cardabia	Australia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Tianjar	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Kubu	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Gretek	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Tejakula	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Tedjakula	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Tjulik	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Djoelah	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Karangasem	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Tenganan	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Amlapura	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Manggis	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 00:30	Batoemoenggoel	Indonesia	0.3
	22 May 2020 06:30	Batoemadeg	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 00:30	Lembongan	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 06:30	Tanglad	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 00:30	Tojapakeh	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 00:45	Lungkung	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Banyuwangi	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Soega	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Gilimanuk	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 07:00	Tjandikesuma	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 08:00	Kencong	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 08:00	Lodjedjer	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 08:00	Ningaloo	Australia	0.2
	24 May 2020 05:00	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:30	Batuulo	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Seseh	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Kuta	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Djimbaran	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Boealoe	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Benua	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Denpasar	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Sukawati	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Labih	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 05:45	Bandjarangkan	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 08:15	Bundera Bundera	Australia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:00	Mintaoe Nae	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:00	Oi Sengari	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 06:45	Kampoeng Maladjoe	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 06:45	Wara	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 06:45	Sowa	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 06:45	Sanggar	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 01:00	Petjatu	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 06:45	Bontoh	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 06:45	Djareweh	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 06:45	Toronaroe	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:30	Lenteng	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:30	Rinca	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:30	Lo'o	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:30	Mboera	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:30	Labuhanbadjo	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:30	Badjo	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:30	Nggorang	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 06:30	Sunut	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 06:00	Brassan	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 06:00	Cupel	Indonesia	0.2
	22 May 2020 06:00	Prancak	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 05:00	Banjoebiroe	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 05:00	Banjuwedang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 05:00	Negara	Indonesia	0.2
	24 May 2020 07:00	Komodo	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 15:15	Sape	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 15:15	Badjo	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 13:30	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1
	22 May 2020 06:00	Mendaja	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 06:15	Jehembang	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 06:15	Pulukan	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 06:15	Badjera	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 06:00	Krambitan	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 06:30	Sedjorong	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 05:45	Lena	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 05:45	Bande-alit	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 06:30	Condro	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 07:00	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 07:00	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.1
	22 May 2020 07:00	Popoh	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.