Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGGA-20
in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGGA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (21 May 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.7 m 438 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 1.4 m 520 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 May 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia2,113 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 May 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 May 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 May 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia700 
100-250 mmIndonesia124,574 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands1,627,919
+
Indonesia1,627,826 
Cocos (Keeling) Islands93 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 May 2020 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 May 2020 00:00 541 130 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kalbarri, Australia. This height is estimated for 21 May 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 May 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 May 2020 00:00 Kalbarri Australia  0.7
21 May 2020 08:00 Arongsantek Indonesia  0.6
21 May 2020 08:00 Pekat Indonesia  0.6
21 May 2020 08:00 Miro Indonesia  0.6
21 May 2020 08:15 Utan Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:15 Pato Pedoe Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:15 Sumbawa Besar Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Idjok Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Alas Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Pernang Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Lepeloang Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Lombok Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Sembelie Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:30 Soengian Indonesia  0.5
21 May 2020 08:15 Desa Anjar Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Bayan Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 00:15 Carnarvon Australia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Salangan Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 05:30 Pardoo Australia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Soeroengdjoekoeng Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Tandjung Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Labuhanpon Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Blongas Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Lembar Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Tandjoengkarang Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Geroeng Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:30 Pamenang Indonesia  0.4
21 May 2020 08:15 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:00 Mangsit Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 05:15 Port Hedland Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 05:15 Wedgefield Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 04:45 Condon Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 05:15 Point Samson Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 05:15 Cossack Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Soega Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 05:00 Wickham Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 01:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 01:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:15 Manggis Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:30 Lungkung Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:30 Lembongan Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:30 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:30 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:30 Tanglad Indonesia  0.3
21 May 2020 05:45 Karratha Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 08:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 05:30 Dampier Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 06:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 04:15 Tamala Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 05:00 Quobba Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Labih Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 05:00 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 06:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 06:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 06:45 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 06:45 Prancak Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 06:45 Negara Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 10:00 Oi Sengari Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 10:00 Kampoeng Maladjoe Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 10:00 Mintaoe Nae Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Lenteng Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Rinca Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Lo'o Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Mboera Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Labuhanbadjo Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Nggorang Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 10:00 Sanggar Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Komodo Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:45 Sowa Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:45 Wara Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:45 Bontoh Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 03:00 Shark Bay Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 03:00 Monkey Mia Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:45 Toronaroe Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 04:30 Carrarang Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 05:15 Onslow Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Sape Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:30 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 06:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 02:30 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 02:30 Useless Loop Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 02:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 04:30 Warroora Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:15 Sunut Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 09:45 Gladstone Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:15 Djareweh Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Benua Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:30 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 07:15 Batuulo Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 08:00 Denham Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 01:15 Condro Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 05:15 Glenroy Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 04:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 08:15 Mardie Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Lena Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:00 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:00 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:00 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 06:45 Praigaga Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 06:45 Omatena Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:00 Kambaroe Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Gerampi Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Bangkulua Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Huu Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Madawa Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Polo Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Owimbai Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Waworada Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 04:30 Cardabia Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 06:45 Waigalli Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Soema Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Genggalo Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Sondo Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Sedjorong Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Waikasaha Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Kodi Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:00 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:15 Laboe Djamboe Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 09:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 06:45 Madala Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 06:45 Bondobela Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Guying Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 06:30 Oeboeoleta Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:00 Garantah Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:00 Lebah Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 04:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Tosi Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Bondokodi Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 06:45 Kahale Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Awang Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:30 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:15 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 01:00 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 07:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.1