Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGGA-20
in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGGA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Cocos (Keeling) Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (20 May 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.7 m 161 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 1.4 m 520 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 May 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCocos (Keeling) Islands290 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 May 2020 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Cocos (Keeling) Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndonesia64,268 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 May 2020 12:00 727 -
- - - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kalbarri, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 May 2020 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 May 2020 23:45 Kalbarri Australia  0.7
20 May 2020 18:15 Pardoo Australia  0.5
21 May 2020 00:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.4
20 May 2020 23:00 Tamala Australia  0.3
20 May 2020 19:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.3
20 May 2020 19:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.3
20 May 2020 23:00 Carrarang Australia  0.3
20 May 2020 19:15 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 19:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 19:45 Wickham Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 19:45 Point Samson Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 19:45 Cossack Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 19:00 Onslow Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 20:15 Mardie Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 20:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 20:45 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Soega Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 23:30 Quobba Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 21:00 Learmonth Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 23:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 20:45 Karratha Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 21:30 Shark Bay Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 21:30 Monkey Mia Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 14:30 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
20 May 2020 21:15 Arongsantek Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 21:15 Miro Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 21:15 Pekat Indonesia  0.2
20 May 2020 20:00 Condon Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 22:45 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 18:15 Warroora Australia  0.2
20 May 2020 16:15 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Negara Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:30 Sumbawa Besar Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:30 Idjok Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 18:15 Glenroy Australia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Oi Sengari Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Mintaoe Nae Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:30 Pato Pedoe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Kampoeng Maladjoe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Alas Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Pernang Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Utan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Sanggar Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Wara Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Bontoh Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Sowa Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:45 Exmouth Australia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:00 Toronaroe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:30 Lepeloang Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:30 Sembelie Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:30 Soengian Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 17:15 Badjo Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 19:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 23:15 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:45 Mboera Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:45 Labuhanbadjo Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:45 Nggorang Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Desa Anjar Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Bayan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Lungkung Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Lembongan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Tanglad Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:00 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Labuhanpon Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Blongas Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Lembar Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Tandjoengkarang Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:15 Geroeng Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 19:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 19:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 19:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Benua Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Labih Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:30 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:15 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:45 Lena Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 14:30 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.1
20 May 2020 20:15 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:45 Memboro Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:45 Kadesa Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:45 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:15 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 21:45 Salangan Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Tandjung Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Soeroengdjoekoeng Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Tianjar Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Pamenang Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Tejakula Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Gretek Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:45 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:45 Mangsit Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Tjulik Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Karangasem Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 16:00 Kubu Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 19:30 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
20 May 2020 15:45 Katewela Indonesia  0.1