Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FLORENCE-18
in United States
11 Sep 2018 03 UTC
click on to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FLORENCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 1.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 222 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

222 km/h Current

Up to 810000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm 		Population in
Cat. 1 or higher		 Countries
Green 1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 120 40 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 120 7 thousand No people
Green 4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 111 No people No people
Green 9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 102 No people No people
Green 14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 93 No people No people
Green 16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 120 No people No people
Green 21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 204 No people No people
Green 26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 204 No people No people
Green 32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 213 No people No people
Green 34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 231 No people No people
Green 37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 231 No people No people
Green 38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 231 410 thousand No people United States
Orange 39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 231 2.7 million 160 thousand United States
Orange 40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 222 4.3 million 340 thousand United States
Orange 41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 222 6.5 million 600 thousand United States
Orange 42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 222 5.9 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 241 5.7 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 231 7.4 million 1.3 million United States
Red 45 10 Sep 2018 15:00 231 8 million 2.1 million United States
Red 46 10 Sep 2018 21:00 222 6.5 million 2 million United States
Orange 47 11 Sep 2018 03:00 222 5.2 million 820 thousand United States

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)		 Population in
Tropical Storm		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher		 Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -18.4
GREEN
 2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -19.4
GREEN
 3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -20.9
GREEN
 4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.6, -21.4
GREEN
 5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.7, -22.7
GREEN
 6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.8, -24.7
GREEN
 7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -25.5
GREEN
 8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.5, -26.7
GREEN
 9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.8, -27.8
GREEN
 10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.6, -29
GREEN
 11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16, -30.2
GREEN
 12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.5, -31.4
GREEN
 13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17, -33.2
GREEN
 14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.4, -34.6
GREEN
 15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.9, -35.9
GREEN
 16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 18, -37.5
GREEN
 17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.3, -38.7
GREEN
 18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.6, -39.8
GREEN
 19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.9, -41
GREEN
 20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.3, -42
GREEN
 21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.7, -42.5
GREEN
 22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 20.3, -43.2
GREEN
 23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 20.7, -43.9
GREEN
 24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 21.4, -44.8
GREEN
 25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 22, -45.7
GREEN
 26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 22.7, -46.6
GREEN
 27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 23.4, -47.2
GREEN
 28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 24.1, -47.9
GREEN
 29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.6, -48.6
GREEN
 30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25, -49.6
GREEN
 31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.1, -49.8
GREEN
 32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.1, -50.7
GREEN
 33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -51.8
GREEN
 34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.8, -52.5
GREEN
 35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.8, -53.2
GREEN
 36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.2
GREEN
 37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.3
GREEN
 38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -54.7
GREEN
 39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -55.2
GREEN
 40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.5, -55.8
GREEN
 41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 24.4, -56.3
GREEN
 42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.4, -57
GREEN
 43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.6, -57.7
GREEN
 44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.9, -58.9
GREEN
 45 10 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 25, -60
GREEN
 46 10 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 25.4, -61.1
GREEN
 47 11 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 25.9, -62.4
GREEN
 47 11 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 26.5, -64.5
GREEN
 47 12 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 27.9, -67.5
GREEN
 47 12 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 29.6, -70.4
GREEN
 47 13 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 241 3.3 million people 26000 people 31.3, -73.2 United States
ORANGE
 47 14 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 222 4.8 million people 810000 people 34, -76.5 United States
GREEN
 47 15 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 3.9 million people no people 35.5, -78 United States
GREEN
 47 16 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 36.5, -79 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
North Carolina United States 6.8 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Goldsboro North Carolina United States City 39000 people
Wilson North Carolina United States City 44000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Beaufort Morehead City 3 Civ. Paved Yes 4200
Morehead City State Port Terminal 2 0
Circle P Farm 9 0
Bogue Field Mcalf 7 Mil. Unpaved No 4000
Cherry Point Mcas NKT 9 Mil. Paved Yes 8900
Triple M 9 0
Dogwood Farm 8 0
Hickory Hill 9 0
Craven Co Regional EWN 6 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
Whitewood Forest 9 0
Craven Regional Medical Center 2 0
Epley 12 0
Camp Davis Mcolf 18 0
Deppe Landing Strip 14 0
Topsail Airpark 20 0
Canaan Air Base 10 0
New River Mcas 8 Mil. Paved Yes 5100
Catino Ranch 15 0
Bell Strip 11 0
Oak Grove Mcolf 8 0
Sky Manor 18 0
Albert J Ellis OAJ 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7100
Stag Air Park 7 0
Hell And Purgatory 24 0
Flying W 35 0
Pink Hill 44 0
Kinston Jetport Stallings ISO 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Murphy Farms 24 0
Moss Hill 9 0
Duplin General Hospital 38 0
Smith Farm 17 0
Flanagan Field 23 0
P B Raiford 41 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
Craft Air 26 0
Mt Olive Municipal 51 0
Seymour Johnson AFB GSB 33 Mil. Paved Yes 11700
Wayne Memorial Hospital Inc. 32 0
Goldsboro Wayne Municipal 41 Civ. Paved Yes 5500
Cox-Grantham Airfield 48 0
Benton's Airfield 44 0
Scottbrook Farm 49 0
Hinton Field 46 0
Wilson Industrial Air Center 49 0
Selma 52 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cape Lookout Wake Island
Morehead City USMRH Wake Island
Swansboro Wake Island
New Bern Wake Island
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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 47 of 11 Sep 2018 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)