Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for KOPPU-15 in Philippines from 13 Oct 2015 00:00 UTC to 17 Oct 2015 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KOPPU-15

in Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KOPPU-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	290 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (17 Oct 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	241 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	2
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

241 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.6 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	13 Oct 2015 00:00	213	---	No people	Philippines
2	13 Oct 2015 06:00	231	---	2.2 million	Philippines
3	13 Oct 2015 12:00	222	---	2.3 million	Philippines
4	13 Oct 2015 18:00	222	---	2.4 million	Philippines
5	14 Oct 2015 00:00	185	---	2.2 million	Philippines
6	14 Oct 2015 06:00	222	---	1.2 million	Philippines
7	14 Oct 2015 12:00	222	---	1.9 million	Philippines
8	14 Oct 2015 18:00	204	---	2.4 million	Philippines
9	15 Oct 2015 00:00	204	---	2.5 million	Philippines
10	15 Oct 2015 06:00	185	---	3.2 million	Philippines
11	15 Oct 2015 12:00	185	---	3.7 million	Philippines
12	15 Oct 2015 18:00	213	---	3.5 million	Philippines
13	16 Oct 2015 00:00	213	---	2.6 million	Philippines
14	16 Oct 2015 06:00	213	---	1.8 million	Philippines
15	16 Oct 2015 12:00	222	---	3.7 million	Philippines
16	16 Oct 2015 18:00	213	---	5 million	Philippines
17	17 Oct 2015 00:00	222	---	2.3 million	Philippines
18	17 Oct 2015 06:00	231	---	2.5 million	Philippines
19	17 Oct 2015 12:00	259	---	2.4 million	Philippines
20	17 Oct 2015 18:00	241	---	4.6 million	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	13 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	15.6, 143.1
2	13 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, 140.1
3	13 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.8, 139
4	13 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.7, 137.8
5	14 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.6, 136.1
6	14 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.8, 135
7	14 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.7, 133.7
8	14 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.2, 132.8
9	15 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.3, 131.8
10	15 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.7, 130.2
11	15 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15.8, 128.9
12	15 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.5, 128
13	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	37000 people	15.6, 127.3	Philippines
14	16 Oct 2015 06:00	Category 2	157	no people	76000 people	15.5, 126.7	Philippines
15	16 Oct 2015 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	150000 people	15.8, 125.7	Philippines
16	16 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	2.3 million people	15.8, 124.9	Philippines
17	17 Oct 2015 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	5.8 million people	15.7, 124.3	Philippines
18	17 Oct 2015 06:00	Category 4	213	6100 people	39.9 million people	15.7, 123.8	Philippines
19	17 Oct 2015 12:00	Category 4	241	290000 people	42.9 million people	15.9, 123.2	Philippines
20	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 4	241	3 million people	43.6 million people	16, 122.1	Philippines
20	18 Oct 2015 06:00	Category 3	185	3.8 million people	35.4 million people	16.3, 121.2	Philippines
20	18 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 1	148	2.2 million people	14.1 million people	16.7, 120.7	Philippines
20	19 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	6.6 million people	17.3, 120.7	Philippines
20	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	3.5 million people	17.8, 120.9	Philippines
20	20 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	1.6 million people	18.3, 121.2	Philippines
20	21 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	110000 people	19.4, 121.7	Philippines
20	22 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	21.1, 121.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Philippines	Cagayan Valley
Philippines	Southern Tagalog
Philippines	Central Luzon
Philippines	Cordillera Administrative Region
Philippines	Ilocos

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Baguio	Cordillera Administrative Region	Philippines	City	270000 people
Santiago	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Loakan	BAG	1292	Civ.	Paved	No	5500
Bagabag		249	Civ.	Paved	No	3200
Luzon Is Cubi Pt	NCP	unknown
Mrmp		117
Baler	BQA	9	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
San Fernando	SFE	4	Civ.	Paved	No	3900

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Port San Esteban		Philippines
Baler		Philippines
San Fernando	PHSFE	Philippines
Poro / San Fernando	PHPRO	Philippines
Casiguaran		Philippines

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Masiway	Upper Papanga	1977
Ambuklao	Agno	1955
Binga	Agno	1959
Magat	Magat	1983
Pantabangan	Upper Papanga	1974

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Debutunan Pt, Philippines. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2015 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (132 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 17 Oct 2015 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Oct 2015 22:00	Debutunan Pt	Philippines	0.8
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.8
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Debutunan	Philippines	0.4
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Pasaruboy	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Dinipan	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Casiguran B	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 17:00	Diniyog	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 17:00	Tarigtig Pt	Philippines	0.3
	18 Oct 2015 12:00	Alacan	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Wright	Philippines	0.3
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Bugallon	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Pequit	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Pabanong	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Hinabangan	Philippines	0.3
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Carael	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Bateng	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Baloboc	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 10:00	Canaoalan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 10:00	Dagupan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 21:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Binmale	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Baler	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	San Andres	Philippines	0.2
	21 Oct 2015 17:00	Kaniwalan	Philippines	0.2
	21 Oct 2015 17:00	Banua	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Maniboc	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 16:00	Aringay	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 16:00	Caba	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 16:00	San Cornelio	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Tatabunan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Narombacan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Lingayen	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Labangan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Damaloguen	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Meycauayan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Tinajeros	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Caloocan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 01:00	Manila	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 23:00	Tagudin	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 23:00	Dili	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 23:00	Bitalag	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Bagacay	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Guintampilan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Macalonud	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.2
	21 Oct 2015 06:00	Sorongan	Philippines	0.2
	21 Oct 2015 13:00	Minabul	Philippines	0.2
	21 Oct 2015 18:00	San Dionisio	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 01:00	Bagas	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Bikal	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 03:00	Panganiban	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 15:00	Agoo	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 05:00	Pamarauan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Cavite	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 06:00	Banoa	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 06:00	Visita	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Barceloneta	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 03:00	Miguel	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Babatngon	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 18:00	San Fernando	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 18:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Capantolan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Mangas	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Binakayan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Buenavista	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 02:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 02:00	Batitgao	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 02:00	Namuac	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 00:00	Bangan	Philippines	0.1
	20 Oct 2015 23:00	Taccuen	Philippines	0.1
	20 Oct 2015 23:00	San Juan	Philippines	0.1
	20 Oct 2015 23:00	Fugu	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 02:00	Naguilian	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 02:00	Abulug	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 02:00	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 02:00	Bitaogan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 02:00	Caramoan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 02:00	Guijalo	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 02:00	Pandanan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 02:00	Colongcogong	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 02:00	Balaton	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Tondol	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Nabaul	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 17:00	Dinapigui	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 18:00	Bauang	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 18:00	Baccuit	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 06:00	Poso	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 15:00	Rarasi	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Mandao	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 06:00	Borongan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Tehero	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 13:00	Polillo	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 06:00	Guiom	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Dolaoan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 01:00	Sialat	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 01:00	Calolbon	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 01:00	Pandan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Rizal	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Daram	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 18:00	Palintocang	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 13:00	Nagsidel	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 13:00	Dadao	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Amaya	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Pilar	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 01:00	Manambrag	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 01:00	Gitoma	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Culaba	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Tabojab	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Caibiran	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	San Vicente	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Silanga	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Pagsanjan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Capitun-an	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Paet	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Bahay	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Igot	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Garchitorena	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Panasgasan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 03:00	Imus	Philippines	0.1
	21 Oct 2015 12:00	Cadagatan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Barana	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 06:00	Malbug	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 06:00	Labigan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	General Trias	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 02:00	Tandoc	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Lucap	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 07:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 21:00	Agdeppa	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.