Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for KOPPU-15 in Philippines from 13 Oct 2015 00:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2015 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KOPPU-15

in Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KOPPU-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	290 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1 m (17 Oct 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	213 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	259 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	2
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	13 Oct 2015 00:00	213	---	No people	Philippines
2	13 Oct 2015 06:00	231	---	2.2 million	Philippines
3	13 Oct 2015 12:00	222	---	2.3 million	Philippines
4	13 Oct 2015 18:00	222	---	2.4 million	Philippines
5	14 Oct 2015 00:00	185	---	2.2 million	Philippines
6	14 Oct 2015 06:00	222	---	1.2 million	Philippines
7	14 Oct 2015 12:00	222	---	1.9 million	Philippines
8	14 Oct 2015 18:00	204	---	2.4 million	Philippines
9	15 Oct 2015 00:00	204	---	2.5 million	Philippines
10	15 Oct 2015 06:00	185	---	3.2 million	Philippines
11	15 Oct 2015 12:00	185	---	3.7 million	Philippines
12	15 Oct 2015 18:00	213	---	3.5 million	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	13 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	15.6, 143.1
2	13 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, 140.1
3	13 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.8, 139
4	13 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.7, 137.8
5	14 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.6, 136.1
6	14 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.8, 135
7	14 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.7, 133.7
8	14 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.2, 132.8
9	15 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.3, 131.8
10	15 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.7, 130.2
11	15 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15.8, 128.9
12	15 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.5, 128
12	16 Oct 2015 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	180000 people	15.6, 126.3	Philippines
12	16 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	4.3 million people	15.8, 124.8	Philippines
12	17 Oct 2015 06:00	Category 4	213	780000 people	26.8 million people	16, 123.3	Philippines
12	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 3	194	2.7 million people	26.6 million people	16.4, 122	Philippines
12	18 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 1	139	2 million people	7.1 million people	17.4, 121.4	Philippines
12	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Category 1	120	240000 people	2.6 million people	18.5, 121.6	Philippines
12	20 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	20.2, 122.2

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Philippines	Cagayan Valley
Philippines	Southern Tagalog
Philippines	Cordillera Administrative Region

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Tuguegarao	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	110000 people
Cabagan	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	25000 people
Santiago	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Cauayan	CYZ	61	Civ.	Paved	No	5700
Bagabag		249	Civ.	Paved	No	3200
Mrmp		117
Tuguegarao	TUG	21	Civ.	Paved	No	5900

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Aparri	PHAPR	Philippines
Abulog		Philippines
Casiguaran		Philippines

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Magat	Magat	1983

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.0m in Diniyog, Philippines. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2015 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (170 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 15 Oct 2015 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Oct 2015 16:00	Diniyog	Philippines	1.0
	17 Oct 2015 16:00	Tarigtig Pt	Philippines	0.9
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.9
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Pasaruboy	Philippines	0.9
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Casiguran B	Philippines	0.7
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Dinipan	Philippines	0.7
	19 Oct 2015 13:00	Alilinu	Philippines	0.5
	19 Oct 2015 15:00	Catuguran	Philippines	0.5
	19 Oct 2015 14:00	Linao	Philippines	0.5
	19 Oct 2015 14:00	Bisagu	Philippines	0.5
	19 Oct 2015 14:00	Aparri	Philippines	0.5
	19 Oct 2015 15:00	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.4
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.4
	19 Oct 2015 16:00	Abulug	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Bugallon	Philippines	0.3
	19 Oct 2015 16:00	Naguilian	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Pequit	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Pabanong	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Hinabangan	Philippines	0.3
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Wright	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Carael	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Bateng	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Alacan	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Manila	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Baloboc	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Canaoalan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Dagupan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Meycauayan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Tinajeros	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Caloocan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Debutunan Pt	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Binmale	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 12:00	Punta	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 16:00	Fugu	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Pamarauan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Imus	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Maniboc	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	San Andres	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Lingayen	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Labangan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Damaloguen	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Binakayan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Cavite	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 16:00	San Juan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Bikal	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 16:00	Dinapigui	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Bagas	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Tehero	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Gonzaga	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Cadagatan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Tatabunan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Narombacan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Amaya	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 11:00	Balza	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 16:00	Bangan	Philippines	0.2
	19 Oct 2015 15:00	Taccuen	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Guintampilan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 18:00	Balaton	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Panganiban	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 16:00	Baler	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Tondol	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Nabaul	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Capantolan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Mangas	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Aringay	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	General Trias	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Caba	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	San Cornelio	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Dolaoan	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Bagacay	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Macalonud	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	San Vicente	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 17:00	Divilican	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Agoo	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Pilar	Philippines	0.2
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Barceloneta	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 20:00	Miguel	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Babatngon	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Bitaogan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Calolbon	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Panasgasan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 11:00	Patnanongan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Guijalo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 20:00	Pandan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Mapid	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Garchitorena	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 16:00	Lapusan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Debutunan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Buenavista	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Bawa	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Cabiraoan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Lucap	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Poso	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Minabul	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 14:00	Libjo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Pandanan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Colongcogong	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Sialat	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Manambrag	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Gitoma	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Pagsanjan	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 20:00	Daram	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Naic	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Balanga	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Pilar	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Orion	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Cabcaben	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Limay	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Maragondon	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Palintocang	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Abucay	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Samal	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Mandao	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 10:00	Polillo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Culaba	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Tabojab	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Caibiran	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	San Vicente	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Bahay	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Igot	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Gongonan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Adiagnao	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Alaminos	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Hermosa	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Orani	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 14:00	Namuac	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Sorongan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Tandoc	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 15:00	Labigan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 15:00	Cavayan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 15:00	Malbug	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 01:00	Santa Margarita	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 23:00	Bantayan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 14:00	Calutcot	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 13:00	Magdalo	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	San Fernando	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 14:00	Caramoan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Silanga	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Capitun-an	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Paet	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Rizal	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Union	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 19:00	Tinambac	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 10:00	Jomalig	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Dingalan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Buguey	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Bauang	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Baccuit	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Lucero	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Pamaoran	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 19:00	Anda	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Casambalangan	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	San Vincente	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Portugal	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Kilkiling	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 18:00	Claveria	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 15:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	19 Oct 2015 15:00	Batitgao	Philippines	0.1
	15 Oct 2015 19:00	Barana	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 16:00	Guiom	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Barugo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Carigara	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Bolinao	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.