Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 60 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Sep 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 65 km/h 0.4 m 47 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 284 km/h 1.5 m 933 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

284 km/h

Up to 610 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Philippines63,746 
Tropical StormPhilippines606,162 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 32 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 130 60 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines13,111 
100-250 mmPhilippines1,008,121 
50-100 mmPhilippines993,346 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 384 1 million
- - - Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Guangdong, Tung-li, China. This height is estimated for 23/09/2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Tung-li China  0.3
23/09/2022 09:00 Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong Vietnam  0.3
23/09/2022 09:00 Ha Tinh, Trung Thinh Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 09:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.2
23/09/2022 15:00 Thanh Hoa, Xi Dua Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Donghai Dao Houhai China  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Huangwu China  0.2
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.2
23/09/2022 15:00 Thanh Hoa, Hoang Xa Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Doulongcun China  0.2
24/09/2022 18:00 Cagayan Valley, Fuga Island Sorongan Philippines  0.2
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Thanh Hoa, Dot Dong Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Nam Dinh, Quan Phuong Trung Trai Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Nam Dinh, Lien Phu Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 12:00 Quang Ninh, Hoang Chau Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Caramay Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 18:00 , Fuga Island Poso Philippines  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China  0.1
23/09/2022 13:00 Ha Tinh, Vinh Son Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 01:00 Shanghai, Changzing Dao Dongxing China  0.1
24/09/2022 00:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Quang Ninh, Cai Kien Vietnam  0.1
22/09/2022 21:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Dongshan Dao Chencheng China  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Penghu, Chi-pei Tao Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 01:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Eastern Samar, Santa Margarita Philippines  0.1
22/09/2022 20:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Guangdong, Rudong China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 12:00 Quang Tri, Mui Lay Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Santiago Island Pilar Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Guleitou China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Tondol Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Penghu, Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Weitou China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Ilocos, Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 , Palawan Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Pangasinan, Nabaul Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 , Dalahican Island Pandanan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 , Matinloc Island Calmung Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Roxas Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Navotas Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Gangkou China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Batangas, Bucal Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Batangas, Mabini Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Marcaban Island Gamao Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Guangdong, Santouzui China  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Guangdong, Hsi-t'ou China  0.1
24/09/2022 02:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Cabra Island Looc Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 13:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Palawan, Chindonan Island Culion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Mindoro Ignonoc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Central Luzon, Samal Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Southern Tagalog, Sumaguil Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Babuyan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 12:00 Quang Tri, Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 03:00 , Tagauayan Island Lo-oc Philippines  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Southern Tagalog, Mangero Philippines  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Southern Tagalog, San Andres Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Dipnay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Sibaltan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Ambil Island Bocboc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 03:00 Cebu, Cebu Island Maya Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 08:00 Macau SAR, Taipa Macau (China)  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Wutian China  0.1
24/09/2022 03:00 , Batbatan Island Bitoon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Tacloban City, Tacloban Philippines  0.1
22/09/2022 16:00 Satun, Bagan Tohit Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 , Palasan Island Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Batangas, Pajo Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Luzon, Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China  0.1
22/09/2022 20:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Shicheng China  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Guangxi, Wanwei China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Guangxi, Bailong China  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Guangxi, Yingluo China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Pinghai China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.1
23/09/2022 08:00 Chumphon, Ban Choeng Kra Thailand  0.0
23/09/2022 09:00 Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai Thailand  0.0
23/09/2022 09:00 Chumphon, Ban Bang Man Thailand  0.0
23/09/2022 09:00 Chumphon, Ban Hin Sam Kon Thailand  0.0
24/09/2022 19:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China  0.0
23/09/2022 11:00 Nakhon Si Thammarat, Ban Tha Sala Thailand  0.0
23/09/2022 11:00 Songkhla, Ban Hlem Son Thailand  0.0
23/09/2022 11:00 Songkhla, Songkhla Thailand  0.0
24/09/2022 20:00 Zhejiang, Litang China  0.0
24/09/2022 17:00 Guangdong, Liusha China  0.0
24/09/2022 19:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China  0.0
24/09/2022 23:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 , Fangang China  0.0
23/09/2022 11:00 Songkhla, Ban Map Bua Thailand  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China  0.0
24/09/2022 19:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China  0.0
24/09/2022 19:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China  0.0