Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Sep 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 92 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 284 km/h 1.5 m 933 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

284 km/h

Up to 190 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPhilippines194,086 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 32 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPhilippines24,176 
50-100 mmPhilippines382,511 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 338 20 thousand
- - - - Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 23/09/2022 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23/09/2022 14:00 Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong Vietnam  0.4
23/09/2022 13:00 Ha Tinh, Trung Thinh Vietnam  0.4
23/09/2022 20:00 Thanh Hoa, Xi Dua Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 12:00 Ha Tinh, Vinh Son Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Thanh Hoa, Hoang Xa Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Guangdong, Tung-li China  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Thanh Hoa, Dot Dong Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 18:00 Quang Ninh, Hoang Chau Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 00:00 Nam Dinh, Quan Phuong Trung Trai Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 00:00 Nam Dinh, Lien Phu Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Guangdong, Donghai Dao Houhai China  0.2
23/09/2022 15:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Huangwu China  0.2
24/09/2022 22:00 Guangxi, Yingluo China  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.2
23/09/2022 15:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Doulongcun China  0.2
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Quang Ninh, Cai Kien Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.2
23/09/2022 21:00 Guangxi, Wanwei China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Cagayan Valley, Fuga Island Sorongan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Quang Tri, Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 07:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Guangxi, Bailong China  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 07:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Quang Tri, Mui Lay Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Thua Thien-Hue, Thai Duong Thuong Vietnam  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Thua Thien-Hue, Thon Thai Duong Ha Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 07:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
23/09/2022 11:00 Trat, Ban Pak Khlong Tha Luan Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 23:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 , Fuga Island Poso Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.1
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.1
23/09/2022 11:00 Trat, Ban Ao Cho Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Ca Mau, Xom Rach Tau Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Caramay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Penghu, Chi-pei Tao Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
22/09/2022 22:00 Satun, Bagan Tohit Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Eastern Samar, Santa Margarita Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
22/09/2022 22:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.1
24/09/2022 07:00 Shanghai, Changzing Dao Dongxing China  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 , Batbatan Island Bitoon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Binon-an Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 23:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Cebu, Cebu Island Maya Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Madridejos Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 , Tagauayan Island Lo-oc Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 11:00 Koh Kong, Bang Krassop Cambodia  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Penghu, Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Guangdong, Rudong China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.1
24/09/2022 01:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China  0.1
23/09/2022 15:00 Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 15:00 Chumphon, Ban Bang Man Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Fujian, Shicheng China  0.1
23/09/2022 15:00 Chumphon, Ban Choeng Kra Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 15:00 Chumphon, Ban Hin Sam Kon Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Liusha China  0.1
22/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Pinghai China  0.1
22/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Tung-ch'ung China  0.0
22/09/2022 01:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.0
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China  0.0
22/09/2022 17:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Yue Japan  0.0
22/09/2022 17:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Isahaya Japan  0.0
22/09/2022 17:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Conagai Japan  0.0
23/09/2022 17:00 Songkhla, Ban Hlem Son Thailand  0.0
23/09/2022 17:00 Songkhla, Songkhla Thailand  0.0
22/09/2022 01:00 Fujian, Sansha China  0.0
23/09/2022 17:00 Songkhla, Ban Map Bua Thailand  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China  0.0
22/09/2022 02:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China  0.0
25/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China  0.0
22/09/2022 02:00 Zhejiang, Litang China  0.0
24/09/2022 06:00 , Fangang China  0.0
24/09/2022 05:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China  0.0
24/09/2022 04:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China  0.0
24/09/2022 04:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China  0.0