Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CHARLOTTE-22 Off-shore from 20 Mar 2022 12:00 UTC to 24 Mar 2022 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHARLOTTE-22

Off-shore

21 Mar 2022 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CHARLOTTE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	115 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	115 km/h	0.0 m	196 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	191 km/h	0.6 m	568 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

191 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	20 Mar 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Mar 2022 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Mar 2022 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Mar 2022 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	20 Mar 2022 12:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Mar 2022 18:00	316	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Mar 2022 00:00	160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Mar 2022 06:00	587	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Jawa Timur, Jawa (Java) Blimbing, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 20/03/2022 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	20/03/2022 15:00	Jawa Timur, Jawa (Java) Blimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	20/03/2022 22:00	Lampung, Sumatera (Sumatra) Belimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	20/03/2022 16:00	Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.2
	20/03/2022 15:00	Western Australia, Hermite Island Ah Chong I	Australia	0.1
	20/03/2022 12:00	Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 15:00	Banten, Jawa (Java) Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 12:00	Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 12:00	Nusa Tenggara Barat, Awang	Indonesia	0.1
	23/03/2022 10:00	Western Australia, Useless Loop	Australia	0.1
	21/03/2022 15:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Timor Pitai	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 13:00	Bali, Bali Prancak	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 15:00	Jawa Timur, Jawa (Java) Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 13:00	Bali, Bali Benua	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 12:00	Western Australia, Lynton	Australia	0.1
	20/03/2022 15:00	Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.1
	21/03/2022 15:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Hala	Indonesia	0.1
	21/03/2022 04:00	Jawa Timur, Sampang	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 13:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Pulau Sawu Ege	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 12:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Toedameda	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 12:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Batutuah	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 13:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Pulau Raidjua Boedae	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 13:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Balawelin	Indonesia	0.1
	20/03/2022 14:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Lamakera	Indonesia	0.1
	21/03/2022 15:00	Nusa Tenggara Timur, Timor Oisina	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.