Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRRILY-24
in Australia
26 Jan 2024 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRRILY-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h n.a. 161 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 122 km/h 1.2 m 652 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2024 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia36 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2024 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2024 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 23 Jan 2024 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Jan 2024 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2024 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2024 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Jan 2024 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 8 24 Jan 2024 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 9 25 Jan 2024 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 10 25 Jan 2024 06:00 122 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 11 25 Jan 2024 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 12 25 Jan 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Jan 2024 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Jan 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 26 Jan 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2024 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia19,459
+
Vanuatu1,086 
Australia177 
New Caledonia18,195 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Australia, New Caledonia3,182,009
+
Indonesia1,446,294 
Papua New Guinea909,766 
Solomon Islands111 
Vanuatu87,884 
Australia547,726 
New Caledonia190,225 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2024 00:00 141 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 2 23 Jan 2024 06:00 88 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Blue 3 23 Jan 2024 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Jan 2024 18:00 230 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 5 24 Jan 2024 00:00 111 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 6 24 Jan 2024 06:00 130 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 7 24 Jan 2024 12:00 190 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands, Australia
Blue 8 24 Jan 2024 18:00 168 3 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 9 25 Jan 2024 00:00 208 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands, Australia
Blue 10 25 Jan 2024 06:00 126 Few people
- - - - Solomon Islands, Australia
Blue 11 25 Jan 2024 12:00 120 3 thousand
- - - - Australia
Blue 12 25 Jan 2024 18:00 125 Few people
- - - - Solomon Islands, Australia
Blue 13 26 Jan 2024 00:00 111 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 14 26 Jan 2024 06:00 194 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands, Australia
Blue 15 26 Jan 2024 12:00 485 1.3 million
- - - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2024 12:00 UTC
    

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