Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTELLE-22
in Mexico
17 Jul 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTELLE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (17 Jul 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 137 km/h 0.2 m 192 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 323 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

323 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 368 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 03:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 03:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 05:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 05:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 05:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 05:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 05:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 05:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 04:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 06:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Shepards United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Punta United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Faria United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Dulah United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Ventura United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Mission United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Montecito United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Summerland United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Carpinteria United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Rincon United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:15 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Surfside United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Maudlowe United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Tivoli United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Spanish Village United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Austwell United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 North Seadrift United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Long Mott United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Seadrift United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Roseville United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 San Diego United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Coronado United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Boal United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Coromar United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Isla Vista United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Goleta United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Newport Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Bay Shores United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Balboa United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 North Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Doyle United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Portland United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Gregory United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 04:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Clifton United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 06:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 03:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Naples United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 05:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 02:00 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 02:00 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 02:00 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 01:30 Capitan United States  0.1