Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for NORA-21 in Mexico from 25 Aug 2021 21:00 UTC to 30 Aug 2021 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NORA-21

in Mexico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (01 Sep 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	50 km/h	0.2 m	164 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.4 m	538 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

140 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	25 Aug 2021 18:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	26 Aug 2021 00:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
3	26 Aug 2021 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	26 Aug 2021 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Aug 2021 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	27 Aug 2021 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Aug 2021 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Aug 2021 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Aug 2021 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Aug 2021 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
11	28 Aug 2021 06:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	28 Aug 2021 12:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
13	28 Aug 2021 18:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
14	29 Aug 2021 00:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
15	29 Aug 2021 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	29 Aug 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Mexico	13,991
100-250 mm	Mexico	1,028,122
50-100 mm	Mexico	12,466,605

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	25 Aug 2021 18:00	161	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	26 Aug 2021 00:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	26 Aug 2021 06:00	297	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	26 Aug 2021 12:00	146	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Aug 2021 18:00	240	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	27 Aug 2021 00:00	145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Aug 2021 06:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Aug 2021 12:00	177	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Aug 2021 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Aug 2021 00:00	124	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
11	28 Aug 2021 06:00	157	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
12	28 Aug 2021 12:00	167	170 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
13	28 Aug 2021 18:00	132	80 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
14	29 Aug 2021 00:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
15	29 Aug 2021 06:00	82	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
16	29 Aug 2021 12:00	351	1 million				-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Sep 2021 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Sep 2021 01:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 22:15	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 22:15	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	30 Aug 2021 02:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	01 Sep 2021 01:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 16:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	30 Aug 2021 01:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 16:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	31 Aug 2021 17:45	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 16:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 16:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	29 Aug 2021 17:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	30 Aug 2021 04:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 13:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 12:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 00:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 12:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 18:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 18:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 18:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 02:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 02:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 22:30	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 02:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 00:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 12:15	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	31 Aug 2021 20:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:15	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 23:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 13:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2021 04:45	Ojo de Liebre	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:15	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 00:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2021 05:00	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Roseville	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	San Diego	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Coronado	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 04:30	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 22:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 22:45	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 22:45	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 20:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	31 Aug 2021 08:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 22:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 15:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 15:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 04:45	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 12:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 18:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2021 00:45	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 15:45	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 15:45	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:30	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 02:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 00:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:15	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 04:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Boal	United States	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 02:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 16:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 18:00	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 12:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 04:30	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 04:45	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:45	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 13:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 17:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 02:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 13:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 01:15	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:30	La Mision	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:00	El Descanso	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 22:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 19:15	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 19:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 15:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	30 Aug 2021 05:30	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 20:15	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	29 Aug 2021 16:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.