Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (19 Nov 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.5 m 575 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 2.0 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

166 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Nov 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Nov 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Nov 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Nov 2020 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Colombia
GREEN 8 16 Nov 2020 12:00 166 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
GREEN 9 17 Nov 2020 00:00 166 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
GREEN 10 17 Nov 2020 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua
GREEN 11 18 Nov 2020 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Honduras
GREEN 12 18 Nov 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Nov 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPanama4 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia234186
+
Mexico37187 
Guatemala117595 
Costa Rica5567 
Colombia12557 
Panama61280 
100-250 mmCuba, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela4872443
+
Cuba71 
Mexico1429437 
Belize78698 
Guatemala2172369 
Honduras2278 
Costa Rica101795 
Colombia1025863 
Venezuela9693 
Panama52239 
50-100 mmCuba, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Belize, Jamaica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama16026951
+
Cuba215885 
Mexico3351696 
Dominican Republic30536 
Haiti88431 
Belize175958 
Jamaica293676 
Guatemala6669896 
Honduras1635820 
Nicaragua55161 
Costa Rica941675 
Colombia1587027 
Venezuela363392 
Panama617798 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 130 40 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 12:00 209 Few people
- - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Panama
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 300 40 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Colombia, Costa Rica
Blue 4 14 Nov 2020 12:00 377 60 thousand
- - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 5 15 Nov 2020 00:00 170 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 15 Nov 2020 12:00 157 Few people
- - - - Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 7 16 Nov 2020 00:00 205 20 thousand
- - - - Guatemala, Colombia, Panama
Blue 8 16 Nov 2020 12:00 448 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia
Blue 9 17 Nov 2020 00:00 356 400 thousand
- - - Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia
Blue 10 17 Nov 2020 12:00 275 2.2 million
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama
Blue 11 18 Nov 2020 00:00 205 750 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica
Blue 12 18 Nov 2020 12:00 207 330 thousand
- - - - Haiti, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Colombia
Blue 13 19 Nov 2020 00:00 575 5.1 million
- - Cuba, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Belize, Jamaica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Nov 2020 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Nov 2020 06:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.5
19 Nov 2020 05:45 Victoria Mexico  0.4
19 Nov 2020 05:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.4
19 Nov 2020 05:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.3
20 Nov 2020 01:45 Columbia Cuba  0.3
20 Nov 2020 05:15 Caibarien Cuba  0.3
20 Nov 2020 05:15 Dolores Cuba  0.3
19 Nov 2020 13:30 La Conchita Cuba  0.3
19 Nov 2020 08:45 Versailles Cuba  0.2
19 Nov 2020 03:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 18:30 Carahatas Cuba  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 La Gloria Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Pararu Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Campamento Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 La Punta Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Guichep Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Juruba Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:15 Jumop Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:15 Sichipes Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:00 San Rafael Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:00 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:00 El Toas Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:00 San Carlos Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Calinatay Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Molomana Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Neima Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Cojua Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Jautaipanou Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Jasav Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Uluimana Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Gualipana Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:00 Cojoro Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Caraipia Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Paijana Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:00 Palachuou Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:15 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:15 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:15 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:15 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.2
19 Nov 2020 11:00 La Isabela Cuba  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Potchoure Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Cuzi Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:45 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 El Carmelo Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Santa Cruz de Mara Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Salina Rica Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Maracaibo Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Puerto Caballo Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 El Triunfo Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Punta de Palmas Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Los Jobitos Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 El Canito Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 El Caiman Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Altagracia Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Bella Vista Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 La Palmita Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Jaguey de Vera Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Ancon de Iturbe Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Ancon de Iturre Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 04:15 Gutierrez Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Morchipa Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:30 Parsua Venezuela  0.2
19 Nov 2020 01:15 Arrozal Mexico  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:30 Guincua Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:30 Tapuli Venezuela  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:45 San Agustin Venezuela  0.2
19 Nov 2020 18:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 18:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 18:15 Tonala Mexico  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:30 Makaraipaho Colombia  0.2
20 Nov 2020 02:30 Castilletes Colombia  0.2
19 Nov 2020 17:00 Simon Bolivar Cuba  0.2
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Conejo Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 14:45 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 14:45 Cancun Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 14:45 Puerto Juarez Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 02:00 Salinas Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 02:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 02:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 01:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
19 Nov 2020 01:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
20 Nov 2020 01:15 Arroyo Hondo Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:00 Coneja Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 22:30 Mars Bay The Bahamas  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:45 Claura Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:45 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:45 Uhi Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:45 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:15 Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.1
21 Nov 2020 23:30 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 13:15 Aurora Cuba  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:30 Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 23:30 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 15:15 El Santo Cuba  0.1
21 Nov 2020 03:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:00 Palmacity Cuba  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:30 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:30 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:30 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:15 Canco Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:15 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:15 Kanko Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:15 Raya Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:15 Clubki Honduras  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:15 Canapo Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:15 Caracubana Venezuela  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:30 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 22:45 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.1
21 Nov 2020 22:45 Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
21 Nov 2020 22:45 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 23:30 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 01:45 Nueva Gerona Cuba  0.1
19 Nov 2020 01:45 Presidio Modelo Cuba  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 13:30 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 13:30 Kaski Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 13:30 Dapat Honduras  0.1
21 Nov 2020 13:30 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:00 Karasua Colombia  0.1
21 Nov 2020 23:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:30 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 23:30 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 23:30 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 23:30 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:45 Charaima Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:45 Baraived Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:45 Guayacan Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:45 Caduto Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Tibana Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Sanare Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Cuara Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 El Cuatro Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 La Soledad Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Santa Ana Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 El Muertico Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Tucacas Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Los Corales Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 La Luisa Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Chichiriviche Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 Morrocoy Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 04:30 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 12:45 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 12:45 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Chirimena Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Chipumena Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Guaical Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Flores Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 El Aguasal Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Carenero Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Higuerote Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Buche Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Sotillo Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Boca Vieja Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Pueblo Nuevo Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 19:00 Paparo Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 01:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2020 23:30 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 23:30 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
20 Nov 2020 23:45 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
20 Nov 2020 23:45 Belize City Belize  0.1
19 Nov 2020 13:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 13:30 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2020 17:30 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
21 Nov 2020 01:15 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
19 Nov 2020 22:45 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 13:15 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 13:15 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Cujizal Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Palencia Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Jagueicito Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 La Vela de Coro Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Playa Negra Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 El Carrizal Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Muaco Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Mataruca Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Taimetaima Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Cuji Leon Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Taratara Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 La Aguada Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 Puente de Piedra Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 El Cerro Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 19:30 San Juan Venezuela  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:15 Antunez Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:15 Yuquique Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2020 02:30 El Socorro Cuba  0.1
19 Nov 2020 13:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
19 Nov 2020 06:45 Punta Alegre Cuba  0.1
19 Nov 2020 06:45 Pueblo Punta Alegre Cuba  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
19 Nov 2020 00:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
19 Nov 2020 20:30 Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 21:15 El Porvenir Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 21:15 El Bobo Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 21:15 Covenas Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 21:15 Puerto Viejo Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 21:15 Zaragocilla Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 21:15 Tolu Colombia  0.1
19 Nov 2020 21:15 Santa Maria Colombia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link