Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua
14 Nov 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Nov 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.2 m 377 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 2.0 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

166 km/h

Up to 130 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia131,566
+
Honduras451 
Nicaragua56,925 
Colombia74,190 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Nov 2020 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmNicaragua, Panama, Colombia14,487
+
Nicaragua9,793 
Colombia139 
Panama4,555 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama2,002,361
+
Mexico66,125 
Guatemala23,834 
Honduras247,470 
Nicaragua251,101 
Colombia803,007 
Venezuela73,940 
Costa Rica210,758 
Panama326,126 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Aruba, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama6,069,920
+
Mexico562,055 
Guatemala729,502 
Honduras571,059 
Nicaragua340,330 
Colombia1,479,456 
Aruba830 
Venezuela1,145,337 
Costa Rica519,705 
Panama721,646 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 130 40 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 12:00 209 Few people
- - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Panama
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 300 40 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Colombia, Costa Rica
Blue 4 14 Nov 2020 12:00 405 2 million
- - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Aruba, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Tasbapauni, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2020 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Nov 2020 22:30 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Tibana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Sanare Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Cuara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 El Cuatro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 La Soledad Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Santa Ana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 El Muertico Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Tucacas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Los Corales Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 La Luisa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Chichiriviche Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Morrocoy Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Jumop Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Calinatay Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Molomana Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Sichipes Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Pararu Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Neima Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Cojua Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Jautaipanou Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Jasav Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Uluimana Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Gualipana Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Cojoro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 La Gloria Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Campamento Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 La Punta Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Guichep Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Juruba Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Caraipia Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Palachuou Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:30 Campeche Mexico  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 El Toas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 San Carlos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:30 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:30 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Baru Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Pendales Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Porto Nao Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Polonia Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Santa Ana Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Ararca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Pasacaballo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Leticia Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Caserio El Cobado Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Cobado Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Puerto Cospique Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 19:45 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Santa Catalina Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 San Antero Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Bijadito Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 El Penon Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 El Porvenir Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 El Bobo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Covenas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Covenitas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Guayabal Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Punta Seca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Hacienda Petalaca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Puerto Viejo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:15 Tolu Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:15 Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Perequete Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Pena Blanca Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 La Mitra Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Playa Leona Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Coco Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Cruces Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Majagul Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 San Jose Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Isleta Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Arraijan Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Puerto Caimito Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Vista Alegre Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 San Vicente de Bique Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Rousseau Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Lacona Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Albrook Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:00 Taboga Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:30 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Raya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Clubki Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:30 Potchoure Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:30 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:30 Cuzi Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:45 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:30 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:30 Morchipa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 23:30 Parsua Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:45 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Cujizal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Palencia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Jagueicito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 La Vela de Coro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Playa Negra Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 El Carrizal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Muaco Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Mataruca Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Taimetaima Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Cuji Leon Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Taratara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 La Aguada Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Puente de Piedra Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 El Cerro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 San Juan Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:45 Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:45 Juan Dias Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Victoria Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 El Capulin Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 El Zapote Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 El Moray Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Campamento Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:00 Zaragocilla Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 21:00 Santa Maria Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 22:30 Balantanche Mexico  0.1