Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Nov 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 130 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 2.0 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

166 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmColombia12,947 
100-250 mmHonduras, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama844,610
+
Honduras124,210 
Colombia542,934 
Venezuela141,969 
Panama35,497 
50-100 mmBelize, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Aruba, Colombia, Curacao, Bonaire (Netherlands), Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama8,341,242
+
Belize01 
Dominican Republic695 
Mexico9,167 
Honduras39,676 
Guatemala30,660 
Aruba110,663 
Colombia4,914,059 
Curacao67,845 
Bonaire (Netherlands)6,413 
Venezuela2,717,108 
Costa Rica203,309 
Panama241,646 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 00:00 391 860 thousand
- - - Belize, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Aruba, Colombia, Curacao, Bonaire (Netherlands), Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Tibana, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 13 Nov 2020 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Tibana Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Sanare Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Cuara Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 El Cuatro Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 La Soledad Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Santa Ana Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 El Muertico Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Tucacas Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Los Corales Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 La Luisa Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Chichiriviche Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Morrocoy Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 San Rafael Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:15 Paparo Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:15 Zalazar Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:15 Las Cruces Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:15 Arenas Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Chirimena Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Chipumena Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Guaical Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Flores Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 El Aguasal Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Carenero Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Higuerote Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Buche Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Sotillo Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Boca Vieja Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:30 Pueblo Nuevo Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Caduto Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Cujizal Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Palencia Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Jagueicito Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 La Vela de Coro Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Playa Negra Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 El Carrizal Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Muaco Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Mataruca Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Taimetaima Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Cuji Leon Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Taratara Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 04:00 La Aguada Venezuela  0.2
13 Nov 2020 07:30 Charaima Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 07:30 Baraived Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 07:30 Guayacan Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 07:30 El Hato Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 07:30 Pedregalito Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:30 Puente de Piedra Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:30 El Cerro Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:30 El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:30 San Juan Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:30 Cacique Enriquillo Haiti  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:30 Pepillo Salcedo Dominican Republic  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Raya Honduras  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Clubki Honduras  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
13 Nov 2020 11:00 Las Lisas Dominican Republic  0.1
13 Nov 2020 11:00 La Vacama Dominican Republic  0.1
13 Nov 2020 11:15 Nagua Dominican Republic  0.1
13 Nov 2020 11:15 Sanchez Dominican Republic  0.1
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.1
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Karasua Colombia  0.1
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Guaguri Colombia  0.1
13 Nov 2020 04:00 Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:15 La Soledad Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:15 Quebrada de Huto Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:15 La Cienega Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:15 Puerto Cumarebo Venezuela  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:45 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.1
13 Nov 2020 03:45 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Canco Honduras  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
13 Nov 2020 09:45 Kanko Honduras  0.1