Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia
11 May 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 May 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 285 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 90 km/h 0.4 m 524 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2019 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 May 2019 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 May 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 May 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 May 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia630 
100-250 mmIndonesia16,788 
50-100 mmIndonesia299,134 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2019 06:00 587 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2019 12:00 676 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2019 18:00 486 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2019 00:00 338 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 May 2019 06:00 302 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 May 2019 12:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 May 2019 18:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 May 2019 00:00 308 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 May 2019 06:00 285 20 thousand
- - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 14 May 2019 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 May 2019 03:45 Wickham Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 03:45 Point Samson Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 03:45 Cossack Australia  0.3
11 May 2019 08:00 Dampier Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 08:00 Karratha Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 09:30 Mardie Australia  0.2
12 May 2019 02:45 Derby Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 The Palms Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Parap Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Darwin Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Bagot Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Berrimah Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:30 Leanyer Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 03:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 03:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:15 Kollan I Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 07:15 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 07:15 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 02:45 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:30 Pender Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 08:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 07:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 23:30 Langadai Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 23:15 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 07:00 Condon Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 23:30 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 23:30 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:15 Pardoo Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 02:45 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:30 Broome Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:30 Thangoo Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 01:45 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 05:15 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 05:15 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 05:15 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 05:15 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 05:15 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 05:15 Kaimana Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 05:15 Moearona Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 10:30 Minjilang Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 22:30 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 22:30 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1