Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LILI-19 in Timor-Leste, Indonesia from 09 May 2019 06:00 UTC to 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19

in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

09 May 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Indonesia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (10 May 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	90 km/h	0.4 m	676 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	90 km/h	0.4 m	524 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Indonesia	20,910

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	09 May 2019 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	09 May 2019 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Indonesia	647
100-250 mm	Indonesia	17,069
50-100 mm	Indonesia	381,280

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	09 May 2019 06:00	587	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	09 May 2019 12:00	676	20 thousand				-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 May 2019 03:45	Wickham	Australia	0.4
	10 May 2019 03:45	Point Samson	Australia	0.4
	10 May 2019 03:45	Cossack	Australia	0.4
	10 May 2019 05:30	Sawarangan	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 05:30	Batakam	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 05:30	Kandangan	Indonesia	0.3
	11 May 2019 02:30	Mardie	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 06:45	Boenati	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 06:00	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 15:00	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 15:00	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 04:30	Pematangdoerian	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 04:30	Semisir	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 04:30	Tandjungserdang	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 04:30	Salinau	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 05:45	Semaras	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 07:30	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 06:00	Tapianbalai	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 16:30	Langadai	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 02:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.2
	09 May 2019 15:45	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 15:45	Berangas	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 15:45	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 09:30	Derby	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 07:15	Port Hedland	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 07:15	Wedgefield	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 06:30	Okaoka	Indonesia	0.2
	12 May 2019 06:45	Pender	Australia	0.2
	09 May 2019 17:00	Longar	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 17:00	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 17:00	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 17:00	Masian	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 08:45	East Lewis I	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 06:45	Teloekkapalpetjah	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:00	Tungkaranasam	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:00	Sekapoeng	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:30	Condon	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 15:45	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 15:45	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 15:45	Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:45	Pardoo	Australia	0.1
	10 May 2019 14:45	Gribble Settlement	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Tioro	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Kembano	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Tampo	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Mabodo	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Raha	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Bonea	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Lohia	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Koroni	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Wakarumba	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Lebo	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Nunu	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Boeboe	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Ronta	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Latambela	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Napabalana	Indonesia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Parap	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	09 May 2019 16:45	Bangbong	Indonesia	0.1
	12 May 2019 06:15	Leanyer	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.