Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Jul 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 256 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 61 km/h 0.3 m 729 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

61 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Jun 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Jun 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 27 Jun 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 28 Jun 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 28 Jun 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jun 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jun 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 Jun 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jun 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 01 Jul 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico1,209,063 
50-100 mmMexico16,040,822 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Jun 2021 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 00:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 12:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 213 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 12:00 186 150 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 6 27 Jun 2021 00:00 169 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 7 27 Jun 2021 12:00 183 60 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 28 Jun 2021 00:00 215 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 9 28 Jun 2021 12:00 169 10 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 10 29 Jun 2021 00:00 175 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 29 Jun 2021 12:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 30 Jun 2021 00:00 245 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 13 30 Jun 2021 12:00 150 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 14 01 Jul 2021 00:00 443 1.2 million
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Agua de las Flores, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2021 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jul 2021 05:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2021 05:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2021 05:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2021 05:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 11:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2021 03:30 El Martillo United States  0.2
01 Jul 2021 03:30 Yarborough United States  0.2
01 Jul 2021 05:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2021 06:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2021 05:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 05:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 12:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 12:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 05:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 05:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 22:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 03:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 03:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 03:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 00:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 05:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 05:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 00:00 Fulton United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 00:00 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 00:00 Lamar United States  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 05:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 16:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 15:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 16:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 14:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 15:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 04:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 04:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 07:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 07:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 Olivia United States  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
03 Jul 2021 22:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 09:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 09:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1