Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLANCA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLANCA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 May 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.2 m 195 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.3 m 981 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 May 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 30 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2021 18:00 756 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Novillero, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 May 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 May 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2021 00:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 00:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 00:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 17:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 17:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 17:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
30 May 2021 23:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
30 May 2021 23:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 12:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 00:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 01:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 01:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 12:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 00:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 02:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 06:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 04:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 02:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 00:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 12:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
30 May 2021 23:30 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
30 May 2021 23:30 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
30 May 2021 23:30 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 12:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 12:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 12:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 12:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 03:15 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 03:15 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 06:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 16:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1