Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLANCA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLANCA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 May 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 50 km/h 0.2 m 269 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.3 m 981 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 May 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jun 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Jun 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Jun 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Jun 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Jun 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Jun 2021 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Jun 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Jun 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Jun 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Jun 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Jun 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Jun 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 04 Jun 2021 06:00 50 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2021 18:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 May 2021 00:00 467 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 May 2021 06:00 478 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 May 2021 12:00 365 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 May 2021 18:00 372 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Jun 2021 00:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Jun 2021 06:00 218 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Jun 2021 12:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Jun 2021 18:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Jun 2021 00:00 314 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Jun 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Jun 2021 18:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Jun 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Jun 2021 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Jun 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Jun 2021 18:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 04 Jun 2021 00:00 10 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 04 Jun 2021 06:00 269 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 May 2021 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Jun 2021 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2021 17:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
31 May 2021 17:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
31 May 2021 17:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2021 05:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2021 05:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2021 05:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2021 00:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 05:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 00:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 07:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 23:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 06:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
07 Jun 2021 01:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
07 Jun 2021 01:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 17:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 06:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 23:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 23:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 23:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 11:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 11:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 05:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 05:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 05:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 23:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 23:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 23:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 23:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 12:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 12:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 00:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 00:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 00:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 00:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 00:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 06:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 05:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 22:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 22:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 07:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 07:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 01:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 01:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 18:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 23:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 17:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 19:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 01:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 11:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 11:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 11:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 12:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 00:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 00:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 00:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 19:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 19:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 12:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 11:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 11:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 18:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
05 Jun 2021 12:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2021 01:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 23:45 Cunano Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 23:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 06:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
31 May 2021 01:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 01:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 13:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 03:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 13:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 13:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 13:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 07:30 El Marques Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 12:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 12:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 12:00 Apisa Mexico  0.1
30 May 2021 23:30 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
30 May 2021 23:30 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
30 May 2021 23:30 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
07 Jun 2021 01:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
07 Jun 2021 01:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 18:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 00:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 00:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 00:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 03:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
31 May 2021 03:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2021 20:15 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2021 17:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 07:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
07 Jun 2021 00:30 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
07 Jun 2021 00:30 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
07 Jun 2021 00:30 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2021 12:15 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 10:15 Copala Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2021 11:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
07 Jun 2021 00:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2021 12:15 Chula Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 00:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 00:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2021 00:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1