Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (03 Jun 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.7 m 149 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.9 m 448 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jun 2020 12:00 90 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 03 Jun 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia953,386 
100-250 mmIndia19,813,272 
50-100 mmIndia72,876,985 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 00:00 333 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Jun 2020 12:00 262 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 03 Jun 2020 00:00 173 15.6 million
- - - - India
Blue 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 452 20.8 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Mumbai India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Asumumbay India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Mandve India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Uran India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Trombay India  0.7
04 Jun 2020 19:30 Kambhat India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 19:30 Kavi India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 19:30 Sarod India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 19:30 Wadgam India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Asarsa India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Malad India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Harinagar India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Tankari India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Muler India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Palghar India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Mahim India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Agashi India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Vasai India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Navghar India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 16:00 Dahej India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:30 Ghogha India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Dongri India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Mira Bhayandar India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Murud India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Alibag India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Revadanda India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 22:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 15:45 Bhagva India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 15:45 Olpad India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Bankot India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Kelshi India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Srivardhan India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Damka India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Daman India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Udvada India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Dharasana India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Valsad India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Bilimora India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Shirgaon India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Umbargam India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Maroli India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Anjanwel India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 04:30 New Kandla India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 04:30 Navlakhi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:45 Nausari India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Boria India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Guhagar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Boisar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 19:15 Akri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Bordi India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 14:15 Surat India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 00:15 Jalalpur India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Tarapur India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Sakhare India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 04:30 Jodiya India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Gholvad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Malyan India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 05:00 Tuna India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 00:15 Navsari India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:45 Mahuver India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 05:30 Jambura India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Kotada India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 06:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 06:30 Sika India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 05:15 Mundra India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 02:30 Gadechi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 02:30 Okha India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 02:30 Aramda India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Mirya India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Navinal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 22:15 Mahuva India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 06:30 Chudeswar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 06:30 Salaya India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 20:15 Suthri India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Bhadia India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Mandvi India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 09:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Purnagad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Purangad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Anjuna India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Marmagao India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Panaji India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Agacaim India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Madgaon India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 04:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 04:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 10:15 Jafarabad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 13:45 Mangrol India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 13:45 Chorwad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 13:45 Veraval India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 13:45 Somnath India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Rohisa India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:15 Porbandar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:15 Adodar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Miski Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 12:00 Bada Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 12:00 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 12:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:00 Shil India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:00 Ratia India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:00 Sutrapada India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:00 Lodhwa India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Kodinar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:00 Gorser India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Delvada India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Nawabandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Kotra Nes India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Adiura India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Dangarvadi India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 18:15 Dwarka India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:30 Miyani India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:30 Bhogat India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:30 Lamba India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:15 Madhi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Devgarh India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Achra India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:30 Malvan India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Nizampatam India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Kottapalem India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 18:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 18:15 Keti Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Vijayadurg India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 17:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 17:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 15:15 Brar Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Pural India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 16:45 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Advota India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Chaudi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Majali India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Karwar India  0.1