Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Jun 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.3 m 333 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.9 m 448 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 15.8 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India14 
Tropical StormIndia15,756,467 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 00:00 130 Few people
- - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia1,063 
250-500 mmIndia381,658 
100-250 mmIndia71,605,517 
50-100 mmIndia58,126,985 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 00:00 563 72 million
- - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Anjuna, India. This height is estimated for 02 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Anjuna India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Marmagao India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Panaji India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Agacaim India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Madgaon India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Advota India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Chaudi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Majali India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Karwar India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Gokarn India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Kumta India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Chopdem India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Ankola India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Vengurla India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Mirya India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Purangad India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Purnagad India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Devgarh India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Achra India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:15 Malvan India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Shirali India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Bainduru India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Chittadi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Vijayadurg India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Pural India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Honavar India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Manki India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Mavalli India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Malan Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:00 Bada Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:00 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Mulki India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Adiura India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Jaigarh India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Mahuva India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Boria India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Guhagar India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Brar Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Udipi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Anjanwel India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:15 Palghar India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:15 Mahim India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:15 Nalasopara India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:15 Agashi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:15 Vasai India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:15 Navghar India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Alibag India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Mandve India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Revadanda India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Murud India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Srivardhan India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Bankot India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Kelshi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Bekal India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Nileshwar India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Chervattur India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Dongri India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Malad India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:15 New Kandla India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Navlakhi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Kasaragod India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Tarapur India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Gholvad India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Malyan India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Bordi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:00 Sakhare India  0.1