Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore
01 Mar 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Mar 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 126 km/h 0.2 m 609 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 126 km/h 0.2 m 609 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Mar 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Feb 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Feb 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Feb 2020 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Feb 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Feb 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Feb 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 28 Feb 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Feb 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 29 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 29 Feb 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 01 Mar 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

609 mm

Up to 134.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Mar 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndonesia111,291 
250-500 mmIndonesia13,319,566 
100-250 mmIndonesia120,627,732 
50-100 mmIndonesia18,392,348 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 00:00 195 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 2 23 Feb 2020 12:00 427 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 181 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 231 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 5 25 Feb 2020 00:00 169 6 thousand
- - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 12:00 321 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Feb 2020 00:00 369 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 8 26 Feb 2020 12:00 354 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 9 27 Feb 2020 00:00 347 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 10 27 Feb 2020 12:00 239 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 11 28 Feb 2020 00:00 232 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 12 28 Feb 2020 12:00 379 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 13 29 Feb 2020 00:00 328 Few people
- - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 29 Feb 2020 12:00 272 50 thousand
- - - - Indonesia
Blue 15 01 Mar 2020 00:00 311 6.4 million
- - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Blimbing, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 01 Mar 2020 02:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Mar 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Soega Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 02:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 20:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 01:15 Dampier Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 01:15 Karratha Australia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 10:45 Pardoo Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 23:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 23:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 11:30 Onslow Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 22:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 22:45 Kramat Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 19:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 19:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 23:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 19:00 Mardie Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 11:30 Condon Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 09:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 16:30 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 16:15 Wickham Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 16:15 Point Samson Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 16:15 Cossack Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 02:00 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 02:00 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 02:00 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 20:15 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 20:15 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 20:15 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 20:15 Negara Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 18:30 Losan Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 02:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1