Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore
24 Feb 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (24 Feb 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.2 m 181 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 126 km/h 0.2 m 609 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

126 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Feb 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia417,881 
100-250 mmIndonesia4,407,551 
50-100 mmIndonesia50,702,315 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 00:00 195 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 2 23 Feb 2020 12:00 427 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 620 4.8 million
- - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Blimbing, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2020 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Soega Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 04:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 17:45 Pardoo Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 05:00 Dampier Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 05:00 Karratha Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 17:30 Condon Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Waingapu Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Matawai Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Pajeti Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 06:15 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 07:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 07:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 07:15 Mardie Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 05:30 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1